Mon, Jan 16, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Dallas Stars 1, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 87% of the time.
82%
9%
BUF winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:56 | 0.06 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:25 | 0.10 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:55 | 0.08 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.09 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:16 | 0.09 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.03 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.02 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:47 | 0.00 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:32 | 0.10 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:26 | 0.26 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.09 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:51 | 0.75 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:38 | 0.50 | 56.4% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.03 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.15 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:20 | 0.08 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.09 | 62.0% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:33 | 0.01 | 59.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 4.53 | +1.5 | 56:58 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 26:13 | 0.33 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:07 | 0.11 | 33.7% | +10.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:40 | 0.00 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:13 | 0.41 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:52 | 0.04 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 10 | 19:13 | 1.84 | 54.1% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.17 | 43.7% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.15 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:06 | 1.13 | 54.3% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.39 | 7.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.00 | 7.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.00 | 8.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:02 | 0.00 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:52 | 0.05 | 61.6% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.00 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:05 | 0.01 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:23 | 0.63 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:15 | 0.00 | 58.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.56 | +1.6 | 60:00 |