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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 16, 2017·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Los Angeles Kings 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 64% of the time.

LAK winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

LAK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Palat–Kucherov–NamestnikovFilppula–Boyle–DrouinDumont–Bournival–PaquetteCondra–Killorn–JohnsonKillorn–Johnson–KucherovKillorn–Johnson–DrouinKucherov–Namestnikov–DrouinStralman–NesterovGarrison–SustrCoburn–WitkowskiCoburn–SustrCoburn–StralmanNesterov–SustrStralman–GarrisonGarrison–Witkowski
Carter–Brown–Pearson3:380.11–0.161:070.00–0.002:190.23–0.151:530.22–0.041:540.16–0.073:290.07–0.132:510.23–0.290:310.04–0.000:330.06–0.00
Setoguchi–King–Andreoff1:220.00–0.161:410.00–0.001:140.02–0.380:510.00–0.021:000.18–0.001:160.00–0.164:130.18–0.502:350.00–0.230:480.02–0.00
Clifford–Nolan–Shore0:330.00–0.001:550.00–0.131:300.00–0.160:590.01–0.000:400.04–0.074:360.17–0.351:040.10–0.000:420.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Gaborik–Lewis–Dowd0:510.02–0.053:110.13–0.021:370.15–0.010:300.01–0.000:460.00–0.003:080.52–0.051:470.22–0.020:470.01–0.01
Gaborik–Lewis–Andreoff0:470.00–0.000:520.00–0.001:450.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
King–Nolan–Shore0:330.00–0.061:130.06–0.060:470.00–0.000:330.00–0.06
Lewis–King–Dowd0:360.00–0.07
Setoguchi–Clifford–Dowd0:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Doughty–Forbort5:230.12–0.361:450.04–0.051:240.02–0.382:100.47–0.063:000.22–0.041:240.24–0.021:190.00–0.167:020.53–0.604:270.34–0.284:000.21–0.171:230.00–0.130:320.02–0.000:330.06–0.00
Muzzin–Martinez1:360.09–0.075:260.05–0.181:590.00–0.001:370.07–0.151:080.06–0.000:320.00–0.145:020.06–0.515:320.19–0.202:210.07–0.200:420.00–0.00
Greene–Gravel0:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.003:020.30–0.170:450.00–0.000:460.00–0.072:440.00–0.231:420.16–0.000:550.13–0.001:160.17–0.01
Muzzin–Doughty0:330.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:350.01–0.000:390.00–0.00
Doughty–Gravel0:520.05–0.000:470.00–0.11
Greene–Muzzin0:440.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBrown FPearson FCarter FGaborik FLewis FDowd FClifford FShore FNolan FAndreoff FKing FSetoguchi FDoughty DForbort DMuzzin DMartinez DGreene DGravel DBudaj GJohnson FKillorn FKucherov FBoyle FDrouin FFilppula FPalat FNamestnikov FPaquette FBournival FDumont FCondra FStralman DNesterov DGarrison DSustr DWitkowski DCoburn DBishop G
LAKTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Drew DoughtyLAK3230:500:582:4042
Anton StralmanTBL2825:120:542:2865
Jake MuzzinLAK2924:360:511:5055
Andrej SustrTBL2921:530:451:2623
Alec MartinezLAK2421:380:541:4513
Derek ForbortLAK2621:210:492:4002
Nikita KucherovTBL2520:420:502:4171
Nikita NesterovTBL2220:190:552:0683
Jason GarrisonTBL2719:510:441:4835
Tyler JohnsonTBL2719:290:431:5053
Ondrej PalatTBL2519:270:471:4363
Jeff CarterLAK2419:150:481:2532
Tanner PearsonLAK2317:540:471:2532
Alex KillornTBL2517:540:431:4623
Braydon CoburnTBL2817:520:381:1931
Jonathan DrouinTBL2417:400:442:0541
Dustin BrownLAK2116:380:481:1701
Marian GaborikLAK1916:290:521:4321
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1915:570:501:4562
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2114:440:421:1731
Brian BoyleTBL2214:420:401:1831
Dwight KingLAK1914:140:451:5721
Jordan NolanLAK1814:010:471:1934
Trevor LewisLAK1813:350:451:2312
Nicholas ShoreLAK1913:300:431:1935
Nic DowdLAK2113:250:381:2411
Andy AndreoffLAK1713:200:471:3420
Kyle CliffordLAK1812:480:431:0934
Cedric PaquetteTBL1912:470:400:5706
Devin SetoguchiLAK1611:520:451:5920
Kevin GravelLAK1911:250:361:1121
Matt GreeneLAK1710:130:361:0520
Luke WitkowskiTBL1810:050:341:0330
Gabriel DumontTBL159:560:401:1505
Michael BournivalTBL159:130:370:5705
Erik CondraTBL106:170:381:0300