Sat, Jan 21, 2017·Centre Bell, Montreal
Buffalo Sabres 3, Montréal Canadiens 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 52% of the time.
38%
10%
45%
MTL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29:36 | 0.18 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 25:12 | 0.14 | 36.0% | +54.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 22:39 | 0.16 | 42.6% | +91.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:17 | 0.13 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:28 | 0.03 | 39.2% | +37.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:32 | 0.10 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 19:44 | 0.53 | 67.8% | +76.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:08 | 0.04 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:05 | 0.85 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.37 | 61.4% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.25 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.09 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.01 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.00 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:33 | 0.03 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:26 | 0.26 | 92.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:06 | 0.12 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:31 | 0.00 | 71.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 3.09 | +1.1 | 61:48 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 26:25 | 0.01 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 25:22 | 0.23 | 54.5% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:20 | 0.12 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:37 | 0.03 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:59 | 0.08 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.52 | 59.9% | +24.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.14 | 64.2% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 16:36 | 0.63 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:29 | 0.17 | 70.8% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.26 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:53 | 0.22 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:24 | 0.07 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.13 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11:56 | 0.20 | 71.9% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.05 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:00 | 0.04 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:25 | 0.15 | 82.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:04 | 0.04 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
| O | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 3.29 | +0.3 | 61:48 |