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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 24, 2017·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Buffalo Sabres 5, Nashville Predators 4 (OT)

Away

Buffalo Sabres

5

Final

Overtime

Home

Nashville Predators

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.

NSH winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:45Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 2:19Shot by Franson, saved by Saros
  4. P1 2:38Shot by Foligno, saved by Saros
  5. P1 3:07Shot by Fisher, saved by Lehner
  6. P1 4:05Shot by Kane, saved by Saros
  7. P1 4:36Shot by Wilson, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 4:34Shot by Neal, saved by Lehner
  9. P1 5:42Shot by Reinhart, saved by Saros
  10. P1 6:00McLeod: Fighting (5 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH McLeod, Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Sissons · BUF O'Reilly, O'Reilly, Kulikov, Foligno, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  11. P1 6:00Foligno: Fighting (5 min)4v6

    On ice: NSH McLeod, Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Sissons · BUF O'Reilly, O'Reilly, Kulikov, Foligno, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  12. P1 6:00Sissons: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH McLeod, Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Sissons · BUF O'Reilly, O'Reilly, Kulikov, Foligno, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  13. P1 7:44Ekholm: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Subban, Ekholm, Arvidsson · BUF Gionta, Moulson, Ennis, Kane, Fedun

  14. P1 8:43Goal by Forsberg (Jarnkrok, Irwin)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Weber, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Forsberg · BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  15. P1 9:10Shot by Kane, saved by Saros4v5
  16. P1 10:04Shot by Franson, saved by Saros
  17. P1 10:31Shot by Neal, saved by Lehner
  18. P1 10:36Shot by Subban, saved by Lehner
  19. P1 10:41Shot by Ellis, saved by Lehner
  20. P1 11:30Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehner
  21. P1 11:45Shot by Neal, saved by Lehner
  22. P1 12:14Shot by Subban, saved by Lehner
  23. P1 12:57Shot by Gionta, saved by Saros
  24. P1 14:46Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Saros
  25. P1 15:31Franson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok · BUF Gionta, Franson, Bogosian, Kane, Eichel

  26. P1 15:50Shot by Johansen, saved by Lehner5v4
  27. P1 16:20Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehner5v4
  28. P1 17:07Shot by Ellis, saved by Lehner5v4
  29. P1 18:25Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  30. P1 19:32Shot by Okposo, saved by Saros
  31. P1 19:39Shot by Kane, saved by Saros
  32. P1 19:59Shot by Ekholm, saved by Lehner
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 3:01Shot by Irwin, saved by Lehner
  36. P2 2:59Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehner
  37. P2 5:31Shot by Kane, saved by Saros
  38. P2 6:05Shot by Ekholm, saved by Lehner
  39. P2 7:20Shot by Moulson, saved by Saros
  40. P2 7:17Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Saros
  41. P2 7:37Shot by Falk, saved by Saros
  42. P2 8:26Shot by Irwin, saved by Lehner
  43. P2 8:30Shot by Neal, saved by Lehner
  44. P2 8:39Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Lehner
  45. P2 9:05Shot by Kane, saved by Saros
  46. P2 9:13Shot by Eichel, saved by Saros
  47. P2 9:25Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  48. P2 9:26Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  49. P2 10:40Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Saros
  50. P2 11:11Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Saros
  51. P2 11:31Shot by McLeod, saved by Lehner
  52. P2 11:37Shot by Watson, saved by Lehner
  53. P2 12:10Shot by Kane, saved by Saros
  54. P2 12:12Goal by Girgensons (Kane, Franson)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Jarnkrok, Watson, Bitetto · BUF Gionta, Franson, Bogosian, Kane, Girgensons

  55. P2 12:54Shot by Gionta, saved by Saros
  56. P2 12:51Shot by Kane, saved by Saros
  57. P2 12:56Shot by Bogosian, saved by Saros
  58. P2 14:12Foligno: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Neal, Wilson, Ellis, Irwin, Arvidsson · BUF Falk, Foligno, Fedun, Reinhart, Eichel

  59. P2 14:33Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehner5v4
  60. P2 15:35Shot by Subban, saved by Lehner5v4
  61. P2 17:28Goal by McLeod (Weber)+29 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McLeod, Weber, Watson, Bitetto, Sissons · BUF Franson, Okposo, Bogosian, Reinhart, Eichel

  62. P2 19:11Shot by Foligno, saved by Saros
  63. P2 19:32Shot by Bogosian, saved by Saros
  64. P2 19:40Shot by Franson, saved by Saros
  65. P2 19:42Goal by Eichel (Franson, Bogosian)+30 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Ellis, Irwin, Jarnkrok · BUF Franson, Bogosian, Foligno, Reinhart, Eichel

  66. P2 19:59Shot by Okposo, saved by Saros
  67. P2 19:50Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehner
  68. P2 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Period start
  70. P3 2:20Shot by Irwin, saved by Lehner
  71. P3 2:59Shot by Okposo, saved by Saros
  72. P3 3:34Shot by Subban, saved by Lehner
  73. P3 3:53Shot by Subban, saved by Lehner
  74. P3 4:51Falk: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Ellis, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Watson · BUF Gionta, Falk, Kane, Fedun, Girgensons

  75. P3 5:06Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehner5v4
  76. P3 5:08Goal by Arvidsson (Johansen, Neal)5v4+27 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Neal, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson · BUF O'Reilly, Kulikov, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  77. P3 5:48Shot by Gionta, saved by Saros
  78. P3 10:17Goal by Neal (Jarnkrok, Ribeiro)+9 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Weber, Jarnkrok, Bitetto · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Ennis, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  79. P3 11:13Shot by Kane, saved by Saros
  80. P3 12:38Shot by Irwin, saved by Lehner
  81. P3 14:10Goal by Gionta (Girgensons, Moulson)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Weber, Jarnkrok, Bitetto · BUF Gionta, Moulson, Franson, Bogosian, Girgensons

  82. P3 16:21Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Saros
  83. P3 18:55Goal by Okposo (Reinhart)5v6+45 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Neal, Subban, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg · BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  84. P3 19:43Shot by Eichel, saved by Saros
  85. P3 19:57Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehner
  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. OT 0:00Period start
  88. OT 0:12Shot by Okposo, saved by Saros3v3
  89. OT 1:31Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehner3v3
  90. OT 2:35Goal by Eichel (Fedun, Lehner)3v3+54 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Neal, Subban, Wilson · BUF Okposo, Bogosian, Eichel

  91. OT 2:35Period end
  92. OT 2:35Final