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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 24, 2017·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Minnesota Wild 3, Dallas Stars 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 72% of the time.

DAL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:54Shot by Haula, saved by Lehtonen
  3. P1 1:01Shot by Parise, saved by Lehtonen
  4. P1 3:57Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Dubnyk
  5. P1 4:03Shot by Shore, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 4:26Shot by Reilly, saved by Lehtonen
  7. P1 5:49Shot by Pominville, saved by Lehtonen
  8. P1 5:59Scandella: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Benn, Eakin, Johns, Nemeth · MIN Pominville, Parise, Scandella, Haula, Dumba

  9. P1 6:33Shot by Spezza, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  10. P1 8:19Shot by Stewart, saved by Lehtonen
  11. P1 9:05Shot by Pominville, saved by Lehtonen
  12. P1 9:18Shot by Dumba, saved by Lehtonen
  13. P1 11:02Shot by Prosser, saved by Lehtonen
  14. P1 11:14Shot by Granlund, saved by Lehtonen
  15. P1 12:14Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Lehtonen
  16. P1 12:37Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Lehtonen
  17. P1 13:35Goal by Pominville, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Sharp, Korpikoski, Johns, Nemeth, Shore · MIN Pominville, Parise, Scandella, Haula, Dumba

  18. P1 14:05Shot by Eakin, saved by Dubnyk
  19. P1 14:17Shot by Koivu, saved by Lehtonen
  20. P1 14:37Shot by Ritchie, saved by Dubnyk
  21. P1 16:20Shot by Eakin, saved by Dubnyk
  22. P1 17:38Shot by Pominville, saved by Lehtonen
  23. P1 17:45Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Dubnyk
  24. P1 17:51Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Dubnyk
  25. P1 19:20Roussel: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Roussel, Eakin, Klingberg · MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Coyle

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:46Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  29. P2 0:46Coyle: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Korpikoski, Cracknell, Lindell · MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Coyle, Dumba

  30. P2 3:36Lindell: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Benn, Eakin, Klingberg, Lindell · MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund

  31. P2 4:38Goal by Koivu (Niederreiter, Granlund)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Benn, Benn, Roussel · MIN Koivu, Pominville, Spurgeon, Granlund, Niederreiter

  32. P2 5:10Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Dubnyk
  33. P2 7:47Shot by Cracknell, saved by Dubnyk
  34. P2 7:47Shot by McKenzie, saved by Dubnyk
  35. P2 8:09Shot by Cracknell, saved by Dubnyk
  36. P2 8:40Shot by Klingberg, saved by Dubnyk
  37. P2 9:38Goal by Seguin (Roussel, Spezza)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Roussel, Seguin, Klingberg · MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Coyle, Niederreiter

  38. P2 10:05Shot by Benn, saved by Dubnyk
  39. P2 10:17Roussel: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Roussel, Seguin, Klingberg, Lindell · MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund

  40. P2 11:55Shot by Coyle, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  41. P2 13:07Shot by Reilly, saved by Lehtonen
  42. P2 14:51Shot by Parise, saved by Lehtonen
  43. P2 15:20Shot by Eaves, saved by Dubnyk
  44. P2 15:39Shot by Zucker, saved by Lehtonen
  45. P2 16:42Shot by Johns, saved by Dubnyk
  46. P2 18:11Shot by Zucker, saved by Lehtonen
  47. P2 19:11Spurgeon: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Eaves, Benn, Benn, Seguin · MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund

  48. P2 19:19Staal: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Eaves, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg · MIN Staal, Scandella, Haula, Dumba

  49. P2 19:39Goal by Eaves (Benn, Spezza)5v3+23 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Eaves, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg · MIN Koivu, Suter, Scandella

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:46Shot by Spezza, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  53. P3 0:40Shot by Spezza, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  54. P3 1:10Shot by Pominville, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  55. P3 1:45Shot by Pominville, saved by Lehtonen
  56. P3 2:29Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Lehtonen
  57. P3 2:40Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Lehtonen
  58. P3 3:45Shot by Koivu, saved by Lehtonen
  59. P3 4:15Shot by Sharp, saved by Dubnyk
  60. P3 7:51Shot by Benn, saved by Dubnyk
  61. P3 8:37Shot by Eaves, saved by Dubnyk
  62. P3 8:46Shot by Klingberg, saved by Dubnyk
  63. P3 8:46Suter: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Benn, Eakin, Klingberg, Lindell · MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund

  64. P3 9:34Shot by Benn, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  65. P3 9:41Shot by Seguin, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  66. P3 10:14Shot by Shore, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  67. P3 11:29Shot by Granlund, saved by Lehtonen
  68. P3 11:36Shot by Zucker, saved by Lehtonen
  69. P3 12:54Shot by Eakin, saved by Dubnyk
  70. P3 13:56Shot by Seguin, saved by Dubnyk
  71. P3 14:01Shot by Lindell, saved by Dubnyk
  72. P3 14:35Shot by Granlund, saved by Lehtonen
  73. P3 14:42Shot by Zucker, saved by Lehtonen
  74. P3 15:43Shot by Pominville, saved by Lehtonen
  75. P3 16:44Shot by Ritchie, saved by Dubnyk
  76. P3 16:51Shot by Benn, saved by Dubnyk
  77. P3 17:32Shot by Granlund, saved by Lehtonen
  78. P3 18:08Spezza: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Benn, Roussel, Seguin · MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Coyle, Niederreiter

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. OT 0:00Period start
  81. OT 0:47Shot by Klingberg, saved by Dubnyk3v3
  82. OT 1:21Shot by Benn, saved by Dubnyk3v3
  83. OT 1:53Shot by Eaves, saved by Dubnyk3v3
  84. OT 4:11Shot by Zucker, saved by Lehtonen3v3
  85. OT 4:46Shot by Parise, saved by Lehtonen3v3
  86. OT 4:56Shot by Shore, saved by Dubnyk3v3
  87. OT 5:00Period end
  88. SO Period start
  89. SO Goal by Eaves, unassistedother
  90. SO Goal by Pominville, unassistedother
  91. SO Shot by Seguin, saved by Dubnykother
  92. SO Shot by Parise, saved by Lehtonenother
  93. SO Shot by Sharp, saved by Dubnykother
  94. SO Shot by Zucker, saved by Lehtonenother
  95. SO Goal by Benn, unassistedother
  96. SO Goal by Koivu, unassistedother
  97. SO Shot by Spezza, saved by Dubnykother
  98. SO Goal by Stewart, unassistedother
  99. SO Period end
  100. SO Final