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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 4, 2017·TD Garden, Boston

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Boston Bruins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 80% of the time.

BOS winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

van Riemsdyk–Bozak–MarnerKomarov–Kadri–NylanderHyman–Brown–MatthewsMartin–Smith–SoshnikovKadri–Nylander–MatthewsSmith–Hyman–SoshnikovRielly–ZaitsevGardiner–CarrickPolak–MarincinPolak–Gardiner
Backes–Krejci–Vatrano1:030.01–0.001:020.04–0.005:480.11–0.200:520.12–0.002:210.01–0.045:240.06–0.272:340.13–0.00
Bergeron–Marchand–Pastrnak5:360.67–0.111:560.14–0.000:360.06–0.000:550.00–0.000:410.00–0.008:020.64–0.110:500.02–0.000:510.11–0.00
Beleskey–Nash–Czarnik0:430.00–0.004:470.41–0.120:440.00–0.002:240.00–0.121:340.04–0.073:130.37–0.001:050.07–0.00
Moore–Spooner–Schaller0:360.00–0.270:310.02–0.002:290.45–0.021:010.28–0.001:200.00–0.271:110.16–0.02
Nash–Spooner–Czarnik1:070.05–0.021:200.09–0.001:160.09–0.021:130.05–0.00
Moore–Nash–Schaller0:330.13–0.000:530.02–0.001:120.02–0.02
Krejci–Marchand–Pastrnak0:320.05–0.000:320.05–0.000:480.00–0.00
Moore–Beleskey–Nash1:000.00–0.001:020.00–0.00
Chara–Carlo3:560.47–0.071:080.11–0.023:260.14–0.200:360.28–0.005:200.80–0.063:580.05–0.241:250.11–0.00
McQuaid–Krug2:340.21–0.104:230.25–0.002:490.07–0.001:060.00–0.143:070.14–0.223:280.09–0.024:360.19–0.00
Miller–Miller0:450.00–0.003:360.17–0.120:420.00–0.002:150.16–0.023:060.00–0.123:050.17–0.071:060.16–0.021:430.07–0.00
Miller–Krug0:430.05–0.001:130.19–0.000:390.12–0.000:350.00–0.001:130.00–0.001:190.31–0.000:490.05–0.20
Chara–Miller0:430.00–0.000:490.00–0.000:530.00–0.000:470.04–0.00
Miller–Krug0:380.00–0.010:380.00–0.010:350.00–0.02
McQuaid–Miller0:580.00–0.290:470.00–0.27
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndNash FMoore FBeleskey FPastrnak FBergeron FMarchand FBackes FKrejci FVatrano FSpooner FSchaller FCzarnik FKrug DMcQuaid DCarlo DChara DMiller DMiller DRask GMcIntyre GNylander FKadri FKomarov FHyman FBrown FMatthews FMartin FSmith FSoshnikov FMarner FBozak Fvan Riemsdyk FPolak DMarincin DZaitsev DRielly DCarrick DGardiner DAndersen G
BOSTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Torey KrugBOS3027:290:552:0465
Jake GardinerTOR3325:410:471:3552
Brad MarchandBOS2722:190:501:3676
Morgan RiellyTOR3322:180:411:2548
Nikita ZaitsevTOR3321:380:391:2057
Patrice BergeronBOS2821:080:451:3366
David PastrnakBOS2621:070:491:3674
Roman PolakTOR2720:130:452:0312
David KrejciBOS2619:300:451:2123
Leo KomarovTOR2719:020:422:0334
Zdeno CharaBOS2418:050:451:4416
Zach HymanTOR2517:400:421:4346
Nazem KadriTOR2517:310:422:0324
Colin MillerBOS2216:590:461:2132
Connor CarrickTOR2416:460:421:3243
William NylanderTOR2416:390:422:0352
Brandon CarloBOS2316:310:431:2214
David BackesBOS2416:260:411:1023
Kevan MillerBOS2316:160:421:0624
Connor BrownTOR2516:160:391:1561
Auston MatthewsTOR2416:110:401:2680
Frank VatranoBOS2416:070:401:0833
Riley NashBOS2315:580:421:2232
Adam McQuaidBOS2415:390:391:1753
Mitch MarnerTOR2315:150:401:2242
James van RiemsdykTOR2314:250:381:0772
Tyler BozakTOR2314:140:371:2443
Austin CzarnikBOS1913:010:410:5932
Matt BeleskeyBOS2012:360:381:0831
Ryan SpoonerBOS1612:140:461:4460
Ben SmithTOR1911:300:361:3318
Martin MarincinTOR2011:280:342:0312
Nikita SoshnikovTOR158:320:341:0803
Dominic MooreBOS148:060:351:1630
Tim SchallerBOS116:440:371:1620
Matt MartinTOR104:430:280:4502