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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 14, 2017·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 3, Ottawa Senators 2

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 66% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Goal by O'Reilly (Okposo, Falk)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Neil, Phaneuf, Smith, Wingels, Ceci · BUF Okposo, Falk, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Bailey

  3. P1 0:54Shot by Moulson, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 1:33Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Lehner
  5. P1 2:15Shot by Stone, saved by Lehner
  6. P1 2:23Shot by Methot, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 3:19Shot by Gorges, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 4:09Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehner
  9. P1 4:51Shot by Pyatt, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 5:20Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 5:35Shot by Bailey, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 6:06Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 6:38Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehner
  14. P1 6:47Shot by Eichel, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 6:49Shot by Moulson, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 8:04Kulikov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Smith, Borowiecki, Hoffman · BUF Gorges, Okposo, O'Reilly, Kulikov, Bailey

  17. P1 9:11Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehner5v4
  18. P1 12:17Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 13:41Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehner
  20. P1 14:45Goal by Ryan (Karlsson, Claesson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman, Claesson · BUF Gionta, Falk, Bogosian, Foligno, Rodrigues

  21. P1 15:01Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  22. P1 15:38Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 16:03Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehner
  24. P1 16:46Stone: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Borowiecki, Stone, Dzingel, Claesson · BUF Gionta, Falk, Bogosian, Foligno, Rodrigues

  25. P1 19:03Deslauriers: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Smith, Stone, Pageau, Ceci · BUF Gorges, Deslauriers, Bailey, Ristolainen, Rodrigues

  26. P1 19:03Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Smith, Stone, Pageau, Ceci · BUF Gorges, Deslauriers, Bailey, Ristolainen, Rodrigues

  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:40Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehner
  30. P2 2:57Shot by Eichel, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 3:39Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 4:26Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 6:14Ceci: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Turris, Smith, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Ceci · BUF Moulson, Falk, Bogosian, Reinhart, Eichel

  34. P2 8:26Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 10:06Shot by Methot, saved by Lehner
  36. P2 10:21Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 10:29Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 11:02Shot by Moulson, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 14:08Shot by Kelly, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 14:31Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehner
  41. P2 14:33Goal by Phaneuf (Ryan)+27 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Neil, Phaneuf, Ryan, Pyatt, Borowiecki · BUF Gorges, Okposo, O'Reilly, Kulikov, Bailey

  42. P2 14:47Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehner
  43. P2 14:54Shot by Methot, saved by Lehner
  44. P2 14:55Bogosian: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Ryan, Pyatt, Karlsson, Pageau · BUF Okposo, Falk, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Bailey

  45. P2 15:18Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner5v4
  46. P2 16:35Shot by Dzingel, saved by Lehner5v4
  47. P2 17:04Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  48. P2 18:29Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Lehner
  49. P2 18:43Shot by Wingels, saved by Lehner
  50. P2 19:14Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehner
  51. P2 19:27Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehner
  52. P2 19:57Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehner
  53. P2 19:59Shot by Pageau, saved by Lehner
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:19Shot by Turris, saved by Lehner
  57. P3 0:51Goal by Moulson (Reinhart, Eichel)+30 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Methot, Ryan, Pyatt, Karlsson, Pageau · BUF Gorges, Moulson, Kulikov, Reinhart, Eichel

  58. P3 1:28Shot by Foligno, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 1:48Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehner
  60. P3 1:59Shot by Claesson, saved by Lehner
  61. P3 2:52Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner
  62. P3 4:35Shot by Ceci, saved by Lehner
  63. P3 4:45Shot by Bailey, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 5:10Shot by Bailey, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 5:17Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 5:18Shot by Grant, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 7:38Goal by Bailey (McCabe, Ristolainen)+29 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kelly, Phaneuf, Ryan, Wingels, Ceci · BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, McCabe, Bailey, Ristolainen

  68. P3 9:20Shot by Ceci, saved by Lehner
  69. P3 10:30Shot by Pageau, saved by Lehner
  70. P3 10:47Shot by Ceci, saved by Lehner
  71. P3 11:32Shot by Stone, saved by Lehner
  72. P3 13:40Shot by Pageau, saved by Lehner
  73. P3 14:55Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehner
  74. P3 15:20Shot by Reinhart, saved by Anderson
  75. P3 17:08Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  76. P3 18:13Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner
  77. P3 18:52Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehner6v5
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final