Tue, Feb 14, 2017·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 3, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 66% of the time.
55%
11%
9%
25%
OTT winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Moulson–Reinhart–Eichel | Okposo–O'Reilly–Bailey | Gionta–Foligno–Rodrigues | Ennis–Grant–Deslauriers | Okposo–Ennis–O'Reilly | Gionta–Grant–Foligno | Ennis–Reinhart–Eichel | McCabe–Ristolainen | Gorges–Kulikov | Falk–Bogosian | Gorges–Ristolainen | Bogosian–McCabe | Gorges–Bogosian | Falk–Kulikov | Kulikov–McCabe | Bogosian–Kulikov | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brassard–Stone–Dzingel | 1:240.04–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.05 | 1:120.11–0.01 | 1:110.01–0.00 | 3:020.07–0.04 | 1:560.18–0.02 | 0:590.00–0.03 | |||||||||
| Ryan–Pyatt–Pageau | 3:080.00–0.26 | 1:100.03–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.01 | 2:410.06–0.22 | 0:550.15–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Turris–Smith–Hoffman | 1:070.00–0.00 | 2:300.04–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:410.02–0.00 | 2:330.00–0.00 | 1:400.03–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Ryan–Turris–Hoffman | 0:410.00–0.04 | 0:440.00–0.03 | 0:300.09–0.00 | 1:380.02–0.06 | 0:330.09–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.10 | 0:320.03–0.00 | |||||||||
| Pyatt–Smith–Pageau | 1:110.00–0.01 | 0:570.00–0.01 | 1:040.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Kelly–Pyatt–Pageau | 2:350.00–0.12 | 1:010.00–0.12 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Ryan–Brassard–Stone | 1:130.07–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:160.07–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Turris–Hoffman–Dzingel | 0:530.02–0.01 | 0:490.02–0.01 | 0:540.14–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Neil–Kelly–Wingels | 0:310.00–0.06 | 0:510.00–0.10 | 0:340.00–0.06 | |||||||||||||
| Ryan–Smith–Hoffman | 0:430.05–0.00 | 0:480.06–0.00 | 0:580.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Neil–Turris–Wingels | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Neil–Turris–Hoffman | 0:400.14–0.00 | 0:400.14–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Methot–Karlsson | 7:570.12–0.38 | 1:490.16–0.05 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 0:320.01–0.00 | 0:540.13–0.00 | 3:440.17–0.16 | 3:260.17–0.22 | 3:460.27–0.03 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||
| Phaneuf–Ceci | 1:190.00–0.00 | 4:180.10–0.20 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.06 | 0:530.12–0.00 | 2:450.03–0.32 | 4:310.24–0.00 | 3:090.05–0.09 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Borowiecki–Claesson | 2:000.28–0.01 | 1:370.01–0.20 | 2:430.24–0.02 | |||||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Karlsson | 1:510.10–0.11 | 0:520.03–0.00 | 1:350.10–0.04 | 1:310.03–0.00 | 0:320.03–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Borowiecki–Ceci | 0:580.02–0.00 | 1:230.14–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:300.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Claesson | 1:110.00–0.10 | |||||||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Borowiecki | 0:460.01–0.00 | 0:350.34–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||
| Claesson–Ceci | 0:400.01–0.00 | 1:410.01–0.10 | ||||||||||||||
| Karlsson–Claesson | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 30 | 29:23 | 0:59 | 1:45 | 7 | 3 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 30 | 26:03 | 0:52 | 1:43 | 4 | 5 |
 Dion PhaneufOTT | 29 | 24:44 | 0:51 | 2:00 | 6 | 4 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 23 | 22:58 | 1:00 | 1:38 | 5 | 4 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 24 | 21:49 | 0:55 | 2:06 | 3 | 4 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 22 | 21:34 | 0:59 | 1:34 | 6 | 5 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 19 | 21:04 | 1:07 | 2:04 | 3 | 0 |
 Dmitry KulikovBUF | 28 | 20:39 | 0:44 | 1:43 | 3 | 3 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 27 | 20:28 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 3 | 4 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 25 | 19:40 | 0:47 | 1:43 | 3 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 24 | 19:36 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 1 | 4 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 24 | 19:05 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 4 | 5 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 19 | 18:55 | 1:00 | 2:02 | 4 | 1 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 23 | 18:33 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 3 | 3 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 21 | 18:06 | 0:52 | 1:27 | 5 | 4 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 20 | 17:31 | 0:53 | 1:49 | 3 | 0 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 21 | 16:43 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 2 | 3 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 24 | 16:39 | 0:42 | 1:35 | 1 | 1 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 21 | 16:22 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 1 | 6 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 18 | 15:42 | 0:52 | 1:36 | 4 | 1 |
 Justin FalkBUF | 25 | 15:24 | 0:37 | 1:11 | 2 | 3 |
 Tom PyattOTT | 18 | 15:06 | 0:50 | 1:16 | 1 | 3 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 19 | 14:32 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 2 | 1 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 18 | 14:30 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 2 | 4 |
 Derick BrassardOTT | 18 | 14:17 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 3 | 0 |
 Justin BaileyBUF | 22 | 14:02 | 0:38 | 1:11 | 4 | 4 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 20 | 13:05 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 0 | 3 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 18 | 12:07 | 0:40 | 1:08 | 3 | 0 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 17 | 12:03 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 2 | 0 |
 Fredrik ClaessonOTT | 20 | 11:51 | 0:36 | 1:16 | 1 | 3 |
 Chris KellyOTT | 11 | 9:58 | 0:54 | 2:00 | 2 | 0 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 11 | 9:22 | 0:51 | 1:17 | 3 | 1 |
 Derek GrantBUF | 11 | 8:37 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 3 | 4 |
 Tommy WingelsOTT | 10 | 7:53 | 0:47 | 1:46 | 1 | 1 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 9 | 5:58 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 4 | 0 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 6 | 4:52 | 0:49 | 1:53 | 0 | 2 |