Tue, Feb 14, 2017·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 3, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 66% of the time.
55%
11%
9%
25%
OTT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 26:03 | 0.02 | 47.4% | +28.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:49 | 0.23 | 35.1% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:04 | 0.14 | 42.8% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:39 | 0.00 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:28 | 0.02 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.06 | 57.4% | +28.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:55 | 0.01 | 46.3% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:33 | 0.00 | 37.2% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:39 | 0.00 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:42 | 0.76 | 73.9% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.00 | 35.0% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.00 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:30 | 0.02 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:02 | 0.18 | 29.8% | +28.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.00 | 9.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:22 | 0.14 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:37 | 0.21 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:58 | 0.02 | 83.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 41 | 39 | 2 | .951 | 2.63 | +0.6 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29:23 | 0.20 | 61.3% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:44 | 0.36 | 54.4% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:58 | 0.02 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 21:34 | 0.41 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:40 | 0.10 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:05 | 0.05 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18:06 | 0.43 | 64.6% | +42.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.15 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.17 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.16 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.04 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:17 | 0.21 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:05 | 0.02 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:03 | 0.15 | 84.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.03 | 54.3% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:58 | 0.01 | 10.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 7:53 | 0.12 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:52 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 1.82 | −1.2 | 58:49 |