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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 19, 2017·Pepsi Center, Denver

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Colorado Avalanche 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.

COL winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:49Shot by Nieto, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 1:00Shot by Landeskog, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 3:53Shot by Boyle, saved by Pickard
  5. P1 4:09Shot by Boyle, saved by Pickard
  6. P1 4:25Shot by Stralman, saved by Pickard
  7. P1 4:43Shot by Garrison, saved by Pickard
  8. P1 6:47Filppula: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Wiercioch, Barberio, Duchene, Rantanen · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Boyle, Namestnikov, Sustr

  9. P1 7:18Shot by Barberio, saved by Bishop5v4
  10. P1 7:53Shot by Barrie, saved by Bishop5v4
  11. P1 10:08Shot by Hedman, saved by Pickard
  12. P1 11:50Shot by Killorn, saved by Pickard
  13. P1 11:29Shot by Rantanen, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 12:01Comeau: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Wiercioch, Barberio, Duchene, Rantanen · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Dotchin, Drouin, Point

  15. P1 12:44Shot by Kucherov, saved by Pickard4v5
  16. P1 13:25Shot by Kucherov, saved by Pickard4v5
  17. P1 14:24Shot by Paquette, saved by Pickard
  18. P1 15:19Shot by Dotchin, saved by Pickard
  19. P1 15:30Shot by Dotchin, saved by Pickard
  20. P1 16:37Shot by Drouin, saved by Pickard
  21. P1 16:42Shot by Stralman, saved by Pickard
  22. P1 16:58Shot by Kucherov, saved by Pickard
  23. P1 18:18Goal by Point (Killorn, Hedman)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Colborne, Grigorenko, Zadorov · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Dotchin, Drouin, Point

  24. P1 18:25Shot by Coburn, saved by Pickard
  25. P1 18:38Dotchin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Comeau, Barberio, Duchene, Rantanen · TBL Filppula, Boyle, Hedman, Namestnikov, Dotchin

  26. P1 18:45Shot by Stralman, saved by Pickard5v4
  27. P1 19:24Shot by Barrie, saved by Bishop5v4
  28. P1 19:58Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Bishop5v4
  29. P1 19:59Shot by Duchene, saved by Bishop5v4
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:22Shot by Rantanen, saved by Bishop5v4
  33. P2 0:42Shot by Duchene, saved by Bishop
  34. P2 3:31Zadorov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Nieto, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Brown, Dotchin, Point

  35. P2 4:18Shot by Kucherov, saved by Pickard4v5
  36. P2 6:27Shot by Palat, saved by Pickard
  37. P2 7:26Shot by Barrie, saved by Bishop
  38. P2 8:23Shot by Johnson, saved by Pickard
  39. P2 9:09Shot by Stralman, saved by Pickard
  40. P2 10:00Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Bishop
  41. P2 10:09Goal by Namestnikov (Filppula, Boyle)+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Comeau, Duchene, Barrie, Rantanen · TBL Filppula, Boyle, Hedman, Namestnikov, Dotchin

  42. P2 10:33Shot by Duchene, saved by Bishop
  43. P2 10:53Shot by Kucherov, saved by Pickard
  44. P2 11:14Shot by Johnson, saved by Pickard
  45. P2 12:46Brown: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Colborne, Grigorenko, Zadorov · TBL Coburn, Dumont, Brown, Paquette, Sustr

  46. P2 15:06Shot by Barrie, saved by Bishop
  47. P2 15:43Shot by Boyle, saved by Pickard
  48. P2 16:05Shot by Kucherov, saved by Pickard
  49. P2 16:06Shot by Kucherov, saved by Pickard
  50. P2 16:07Shot by Kucherov, saved by Pickard
  51. P2 16:51Shot by Paquette, saved by Pickard
  52. P2 18:10Shot by Drouin, saved by Pickard
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:09Shot by Dotchin, saved by Pickard
  56. P3 1:30Shot by Johnson, saved by Pickard
  57. P3 2:44Shot by Comeau, saved by Bishop
  58. P3 2:46Goal by Rantanen (Comeau, Duchene)+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Comeau, Barberio, Duchene, Barrie, Rantanen · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Sustr, Drouin, Point

  59. P3 4:35Shot by Rantanen, saved by Bishop
  60. P3 4:57Drouin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Barberio, Duchene, Barrie, Rantanen · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Drouin, Point

  61. P3 5:20Shot by Barrie, saved by Bishop5v4
  62. P3 5:50Shot by Sustr, saved by Pickard5v4
  63. P3 6:20Shot by Iginla, saved by Bishop5v4
  64. P3 7:01Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bishop
  65. P3 8:17Shot by Tyutin, saved by Bishop
  66. P3 9:56Shot by Iginla, saved by Bishop
  67. P3 10:37Shot by Killorn, saved by Pickard
  68. P3 12:24Shot by Killorn, saved by Pickard
  69. P3 12:57Shot by Iginla, saved by Bishop
  70. P3 13:50Shot by Landeskog, saved by Bishop
  71. P3 16:08Shot by Zadorov, saved by Bishop
  72. P3 16:22Shot by Killorn, saved by Pickard
  73. P3 17:57Shot by Kucherov, saved by Pickard
  74. P3 19:18Goal by Duchene (Barrie, MacKinnon)6v5+48 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barberio, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · TBL Filppula, Boyle, Hedman, Kucherov, Dotchin

  75. P3 19:11Shot by Landeskog, saved by Bishop6v5
  76. P3 19:52Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Bishop
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. OT 0:00Period start
  79. OT 0:33Shot by Hedman, saved by Pickard3v3
  80. OT 0:35Shot by Hedman, saved by Pickard3v3
  81. OT 1:22Shot by Rantanen, saved by Bishop3v3
  82. OT 2:27Goal by Drouin, unassisted3v3+54 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Comeau, Nieto · TBL Johnson, Dotchin, Drouin

  83. OT 2:27Period end
  84. OT 2:27Final