Sun, Feb 19, 2017·Pepsi Center, Denver
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Colorado Avalanche 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.
27%
8%
57%
COL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:51 | 0.11 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:37 | 0.08 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:27 | 0.38 | 64.2% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:02 | 0.27 | 44.1% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 20:01 | 0.08 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:00 | 0.10 | 87.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:44 | 0.42 | 82.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 9 | 19:07 | 1.22 | 86.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.01 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:56 | 0.30 | 45.4% | +54.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.00 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.18 | 48.3% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:59 | 0.13 | 41.4% | +18.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.09 | 40.8% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:25 | 0.17 | 83.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:17 | 0.00 | 39.8% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:55 | 0.00 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:27 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.68 | +0.7 | 62:27 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 25:40 | 0.21 | 40.0% | +48.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 24:37 | 0.27 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:01 | 0.13 | 39.8% | +48.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:33 | 0.04 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:19 | 0.29 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:41 | 0.53 | 36.7% | +66.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:19 | 0.57 | 35.5% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:59 | 0.09 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:22 | 0.10 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.07 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.07 | 56.9% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:11 | 0.10 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:57 | 0.15 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.06 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:32 | 0.00 | 7.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:13 | 0.00 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:43 | 0.00 | 10.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 3.55 | +0.5 | 61:26 |