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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 25, 2017·Pepsi Center, Denver

Buffalo Sabres 3, Colorado Avalanche 5

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.

COL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:12Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 2:06Goal by Landeskog (Barberio, MacKinnon)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Barberio, Landeskog, MacKinnon · BUF Gorges, Kane, Kulikov, Reinhart, Eichel

  4. P1 3:11Shot by Bourque, saved by Lehner
  5. P1 3:18Shot by Nieto, saved by Lehner
  6. P1 3:23Shot by Rantanen, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 5:07Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 5:24Shot by Foligno, saved by Smith
  9. P1 6:45Shot by Ennis, saved by Smith
  10. P1 7:00Shot by Bailey, saved by Smith
  11. P1 7:08Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Smith
  12. P1 10:39Shot by Bailey, saved by Smith
  13. P1 10:38Shot by Bailey, saved by Smith
  14. P1 10:44Bailey: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Barberio, Duchene, Nieto, Rantanen · BUF Gorges, Okposo, O'Reilly, Kulikov, Bailey

  15. P1 10:44Barberio: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Barberio, Duchene, Nieto, Rantanen · BUF Gorges, Okposo, O'Reilly, Kulikov, Bailey

  16. P1 11:26Shot by Barrie, saved by Lehner4v4
  17. P1 12:42Goal by Grigorenko (Nieto, Johnson)4v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: COL Wiercioch, Barrie, Nieto, Grigorenko · BUF Gorges, Kulikov, Girgensons, Reinhart

  18. P1 13:48Shot by Eichel, saved by Smith
  19. P1 14:18Shot by Duchene, saved by Lehner
  20. P1 14:24Goal by Barrie (Rantanen, Nieto)+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Duchene, Barrie, Nieto, Rantanen · BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Ristolainen

  21. P1 16:58Shot by Bailey, saved by Smith
  22. P1 17:01Shot by McCabe, saved by Smith
  23. P1 17:05Rantanen: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Barberio, Duchene, Nieto, Rantanen · BUF Franson, Okposo, McCabe, Bailey, Eichel

  24. P1 17:11Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Smith4v5
  25. P1 17:11Goal by Reinhart (Eichel, Ristolainen)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Tyutin, Landeskog, MacKinnon · BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  26. P1 18:47Shot by Moulson, saved by Smith
  27. P1 19:00Shot by Bourque, saved by Lehner
  28. P1 19:29Shot by Eichel, saved by Smith
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:16Shot by Nieto, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 0:43Shot by Girgensons, saved by Smith
  33. P2 0:54Shot by Girgensons, saved by Smith
  34. P2 1:49Colborne: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Mitchell, Colborne, Barberio · BUF Gorges, Kulikov, Foligno, Reinhart, Eichel

  35. P2 1:59Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Smith4v5
  36. P2 2:00Shot by Reinhart, saved by Smith4v5
  37. P2 5:29Shot by Rantanen, saved by Lehner
  38. P2 5:38Shot by Okposo, saved by Smith
  39. P2 7:15Shot by Comeau, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 7:16Barrie: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Johnson, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · BUF Gorges, Okposo, O'Reilly, Kulikov, Rodrigues

  41. P2 7:57Shot by Nieto, saved by Lehner4v5
  42. P2 8:37Shot by Kane, saved by Smith4v5
  43. P2 9:10Shot by Gionta, saved by Smith4v5
  44. P2 9:11Shot by Moulson, saved by Smith4v5
  45. P2 9:52Shot by Girgensons, saved by Smith
  46. P2 9:55Goal by Foligno (Girgensons, Bailey)+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · BUF Bogosian, Kulikov, Foligno, Girgensons, Bailey

  47. P2 10:43Shot by Kane, saved by Smith
  48. P2 13:09Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Lehner
  49. P2 13:54Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Smith
  50. P2 16:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lehner
  51. P2 16:07Goal by Comeau (MacKinnon, Landeskog)+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Barberio, Landeskog, MacKinnon · BUF Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  52. P2 17:08Shot by Bourque, saved by Lehner
  53. P2 17:40Goal by Rodrigues (Ennis, Moulson)+11 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Barrie, Nieto, Grigorenko, Martinsen · BUF Gorges, Moulson, Franson, Ennis, Rodrigues

  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:22Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lehner
  57. P3 2:22Shot by Johnson, saved by Lehner
  58. P3 3:39Shot by Rantanen, saved by Lehner
  59. P3 3:41Bogosian: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Barberio, Duchene, Nieto, Rantanen · BUF Okposo, Bogosian, Kulikov, Bailey, Rodrigues

  60. P3 3:50Shot by Foligno, saved by Smith5v4
  61. P3 5:38Shot by Duchene, saved by Lehner5v4
  62. P3 5:44Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Smith
  63. P3 8:08Shot by Okposo, saved by Smith
  64. P3 8:15Shot by Gorges, saved by Smith
  65. P3 9:01Franson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Comeau, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · BUF Gorges, Franson, Kane, Reinhart, Eichel

  66. P3 10:51Shot by Barrie, saved by Lehner5v4
  67. P3 11:15Shot by Mitchell, saved by Lehner
  68. P3 12:32Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Smith
  69. P3 12:34Shot by Reinhart, saved by Smith
  70. P3 12:38Landeskog: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Comeau, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · BUF Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  71. P3 14:28Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lehner4v5
  72. P3 15:26Shot by Girgensons, saved by Smith
  73. P3 15:36Shot by Duchene, saved by Lehner
  74. P3 16:03Shot by Comeau, saved by Lehner
  75. P3 16:21Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Smith
  76. P3 16:27Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Smith
  77. P3 16:57Shot by Duchene, saved by Lehner
  78. P3 19:20Goal by Landeskog (Comeau)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Tyutin, Comeau, Landeskog, MacKinnon · BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  79. P3 19:47Shot by Foligno, saved by Smith
  80. P3 19:59Shot by Girgensons, saved by Smith
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final