Sat, Feb 25, 2017·Pepsi Center, Denver
Buffalo Sabres 3, Colorado Avalanche 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.
30%
9%
53%
COL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 6 | 25:30 | 0.20 | 30.0% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 22:11 | 0.14 | 41.1% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 22:04 | 0.24 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 3 | 19:56 | 1.19 | 34.5% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:46 | 0.00 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:37 | 0.10 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.15 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:47 | 0.03 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:32 | 0.08 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.13 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:56 | 0.27 | 65.2% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:09 | 0.37 | 60.5% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.01 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.19 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 0.17 | 54.9% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:00 | 0.01 | 48.5% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:20 | 0.42 | 44.7% | +11.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:46 | 0.02 | 37.9% | +11.4 |
| L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 2.32 | −1.7 | 58:24 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:49 | 0.03 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:12 | 0.08 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:47 | 0.15 | 52.8% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:38 | 0.07 | 46.7% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:28 | 0.01 | 54.3% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:10 | 0.51 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:54 | 0.20 | 60.9% | +25.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.87 | 64.0% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.02 | 52.8% | +11.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.43 | 68.7% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:13 | 0.20 | 45.2% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.01 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.04 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:03 | 0.08 | 14.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.10 | 72.7% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.02 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:27 | 0.00 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:49 | 0.20 | 64.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.71 | +0.7 | 60:00 |