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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 28, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Nashville Predators 5, Buffalo Sabres 4 (OT)

Away

Nashville Predators

5

Final

Overtime

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 63% of the time.

BUF winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:13Shot by Irwin, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 1:30Shot by Johansen, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 1:59Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 2:39Shot by Ennis, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 4:43Shot by Okposo, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 4:52Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 6:59Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 7:05Shot by Okposo, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 8:01Kane: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Franson, Kane, Kulikov, Eichel · NSH Neal, Subban, Wilson, Ekholm, Jarnkrok

  11. P1 9:08Shot by Josi, saved by Lehner4v5
  12. P1 9:32Shot by Fisher, saved by Lehner4v5
  13. P1 10:44Shot by Kane, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 10:54Ekholm: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · NSH Josi, Ekholm, Smith, Johansen, Fiala

  15. P1 11:15Shot by Eichel, saved by Rinne5v4
  16. P1 11:57Shot by Reinhart, saved by Rinne5v4
  17. P1 13:05Shot by Moulson, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 13:36Shot by Bailey, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 13:47Shot by Girgensons, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 14:03Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 14:37Shot by Reinhart, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 15:52Goal by Gionta (Bogosian, Eichel)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Kane, Kulikov, Eichel · NSH Neal, Subban, Wilson, Ekholm, Jarnkrok

  23. P1 17:26Goal by Okposo (McCabe, Moulson)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Okposo, O'Reilly, McCabe, Ristolainen · NSH Fiddler, Ekholm, Irwin, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  24. P1 17:24Shot by McCabe, saved by Rinne
  25. P1 18:49Goal by Fisher (Watson, Irwin)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Kane, Kulikov, Eichel · NSH Fisher, Josi, Ellis, Watson, Fiala

  26. P1 19:15Shot by Josi, saved by Lehner
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:23Shot by Neal, saved by Lehner
  30. P2 1:02Ristolainen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, McCabe, Bailey, Ristolainen · NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  31. P2 1:01Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 1:56Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehner4v5
  33. P2 2:06Shot by Josi, saved by Lehner4v5
  34. P2 2:09Goal by Wilson (Johansen, Josi)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Kulikov, Girgensons · NSH Subban, Wilson, Josi, Johansen, Arvidsson

  35. P2 4:46Shot by Fiddler, saved by Lehner
  36. P2 4:50Shot by Ekholm, saved by Lehner
  37. P2 5:28Shot by Ekholm, saved by Lehner
  38. P2 5:35Goal by Kane (Gionta, Franson)+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Franson, Kane, Eichel · NSH Neal, Subban, Wilson, Ekholm, Jarnkrok

  39. P2 7:09Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 7:13Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehner
  41. P2 7:22Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 7:40Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehner
  43. P2 8:33Shot by Reinhart, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 8:52Shot by Gionta, saved by Rinne
  45. P2 9:42Shot by Wilson, saved by Lehner
  46. P2 11:45Shot by Neal, saved by Lehner
  47. P2 14:49Shot by Ekholm, saved by Lehner
  48. P2 15:42Shot by Okposo, saved by Rinne
  49. P2 16:30Kane: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Kane, Kulikov, Eichel · NSH Fiddler, Subban, Weber, Watson, Zolnierczyk

  50. P2 18:11Shot by Ellis, saved by Lehner4v5
  51. P2 18:25Shot by Ellis, saved by Lehner4v5
  52. P2 19:56Shot by Reinhart, saved by Rinne
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:14Shot by Wilson, saved by Lehner
  56. P3 0:39Kane: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Kane, Ristolainen, Eichel · NSH Neal, Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Forsberg

  57. P3 0:39Subban: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Kane, Ristolainen, Eichel · NSH Neal, Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Forsberg

  58. P3 0:54Shot by Okposo, saved by Rinne4v4
  59. P3 0:56Goal by McCabe (Okposo, O'Reilly)4v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, McCabe, Ristolainen · NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Arvidsson

  60. P3 1:13Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Rinne4v4
  61. P3 2:10Shot by Neal, saved by Lehner4v4
  62. P3 3:20Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehner
  63. P3 3:28Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehner
  64. P3 4:42Rodrigues: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Kulikov, Foligno, Reinhart, Rodrigues · NSH Neal, Wilson, Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok

  65. P3 6:23Shot by Ellis, saved by Lehner4v5
  66. P3 6:30Shot by Fisher, saved by Lehner4v5
  67. P3 7:39Shot by Josi, saved by Lehner
  68. P3 8:08Shot by Reinhart, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 8:30Shot by Zolnierczyk, saved by Lehner
  70. P3 8:39Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  71. P3 9:59Shot by Josi, saved by Lehner
  72. P3 10:15Shot by Josi, saved by Lehner
  73. P3 11:16Goal by Johansen (Forsberg, Irwin)+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen · NSH Weber, Irwin, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  74. P3 11:30Shot by Fiala, saved by Lehner
  75. P3 11:42Shot by Fiala, saved by Lehner
  76. P3 13:05Shot by McCabe, saved by Rinne
  77. P3 16:52Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  78. P3 17:37Goal by Forsberg (Arvidsson)+44 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Ristolainen · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  79. P3 18:03Shot by Eichel, saved by Rinne
  80. P3 18:44Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  81. P3 19:57Arvidsson: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Franson, Girgensons, Reinhart, Rodrigues · NSH Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. OT 0:00Period start
  84. OT 0:22Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Rinne4v3
  85. OT 0:39Shot by Eichel, saved by Rinne4v3
  86. OT 0:51Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Rinne4v3
  87. OT 1:01Shot by Eichel, saved by Rinne4v3
  88. OT 2:45Goal by Forsberg (Josi)3v3+54 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Kane, Reinhart · NSH Josi, Johansen, Forsberg

  89. OT 2:45Period end
  90. OT 2:45Final