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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 28, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Nashville Predators 5, Buffalo Sabres 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 63% of the time.

BUF winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Johansen–Forsberg–ArvidssonNeal–Wilson–JarnkrokFisher–Smith–FialaFiddler–Watson–ZolnierczykSmith–Watson–FialaJosi–EllisSubban–EkholmWeber–IrwinJosi–EkholmSubban–Ellis
Gionta–Kane–Eichel0:430.00–0.015:250.35–0.522:020.00–0.151:270.04–0.004:530.02–0.454:240.37–0.420:320.00–0.00
Okposo–O'Reilly–Bailey5:430.12–0.220:320.01–0.000:370.00–0.084:330.13–0.062:140.11–0.161:070.00–0.070:370.00–0.08
Foligno–Reinhart–Rodrigues3:010.00–0.251:590.08–0.003:100.02–0.091:160.00–0.001:570.08–0.16
Moulson–Ennis–Girgensons0:310.00–0.010:420.00–0.001:550.09–0.000:360.00–0.011:520.14–0.012:130.09–0.00
Okposo–O'Reilly–Foligno1:590.00–0.100:400.01–0.000:400.01–0.002:210.00–0.12
Girgensons–Reinhart–Rodrigues0:390.00–0.001:230.00–0.00
Ennis–Kane–Eichel0:450.00–0.080:370.00–0.00
Okposo–O'Reilly–Rodrigues0:570.13–0.131:030.14–0.13
McCabe–Ristolainen9:070.26–0.373:300.14–0.240:410.00–0.118:540.28–0.294:160.17–0.251:430.00–0.160:450.00–0.08
Bogosian–Kulikov1:150.13–0.044:130.15–0.324:210.03–0.092:050.10–0.080:560.04–0.025:040.04–0.394:510.21–0.143:260.22–0.160:580.04–0.00
Gorges–Franson1:220.02–0.104:210.12–0.093:100.08–0.142:190.04–0.000:410.00–0.004:510.06–0.094:400.13–0.243:110.08–0.000:430.00–0.00
Franson–McCabe0:380.00–0.09
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndKane FGionta FEichel FReinhart FRodrigues FFoligno FBailey FOkposo FO'Reilly FMoulson FGirgensons FEnnis FMcCabe DRistolainen DGorges DFranson DBogosian DKulikov DLehner GNeal FJarnkrok FWilson FFisher FSmith FFiala FArvidsson FJohansen FForsberg FZolnierczyk FWatson FFiddler FEllis DJosi DEkholm DSubban DWeber DIrwin DRinne G
BUFNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH3230:550:581:5171
Ryan EllisNSH3227:340:521:2751
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2925:180:522:1834
P.K. SubbanNSH3022:540:462:0616
Ryan O'ReillyBUF3022:130:442:1937
Jack EichelBUF2422:040:552:2831
Jake McCabeBUF2821:530:471:4822
Ryan JohansenNSH2820:580:452:0560
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2720:540:462:1150
Kyle OkposoBUF2520:490:502:1132
Mattias EkholmNSH2920:130:421:2716
Filip ForsbergNSH2819:590:432:0551
Cody FransonBUF2719:430:441:2934
Calle JarnkrokNSH2819:090:411:0952
Colin WilsonNSH2518:510:451:2350
Evander KaneBUF2418:210:461:2240
James NealNSH2318:200:481:5060
Zach BogosianBUF2218:080:491:2531
Josh GorgesBUF2817:550:381:2836
Dmitry KulikovBUF2317:420:461:1831
Marcus FolignoBUF1916:320:521:4625
Mike FisherNSH2216:290:451:2815
Brian GiontaBUF2316:100:421:1221
Sam ReinhartBUF1714:280:512:2842
Evan RodriguesBUF1513:050:521:4332
Kevin FialaNSH1713:000:461:0811
Craig SmithNSH1612:140:461:0012
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1511:320:461:1720
Matt IrwinNSH1710:300:371:3211
Justin BaileyBUF1410:160:440:5902
Yannick WeberNSH179:390:341:1811
Austin WatsonNSH139:350:441:2304
Tyler EnnisBUF108:430:521:2520
Vernon FiddlerNSH157:050:280:5507
Matt MoulsonBUF76:350:561:3220
Harry ZolnierczykNSH86:150:471:1803