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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 28, 2017·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Colorado Avalanche 0, Philadelphia Flyers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 68% of the time.

PHI winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:54Shot by Raffl, saved by Smith
  3. P1 1:04Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Mason
  4. P1 1:41Shot by Schenn, saved by Smith
  5. P1 2:30Giroux: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Simmonds, Weal, Provorov · COL Barberio, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  6. P1 2:35Shot by Barrie, saved by Mason4v5
  7. P1 2:59Shot by Bellemare, saved by Smith4v5
  8. P1 3:26Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason4v5
  9. P1 4:04Goal by Simmonds (MacDonald)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Simmonds, Couturier, Provorov · COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Duchene, Nieto, Grigorenko

  10. P1 4:48Shot by Gudas, saved by Smith
  11. P1 5:25Shot by Weise, saved by Smith
  12. P1 6:54Shot by Voracek, saved by Smith
  13. P1 7:17Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Smith
  14. P1 7:43Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Smith
  15. P1 7:58Tyutin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Giroux, Simmonds, Weal, Gostisbehere · COL Iginla, Tyutin, Mitchell, Colborne, Barrie

  16. P1 8:01Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Smith5v4
  17. P1 8:07Goal by Simmonds (Gostisbehere, Giroux)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Grigorenko

  18. P1 10:11Colborne: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Del Zotto, Schenn, Cousins, Provorov · COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Mitchell, Colborne, Barberio

  19. P1 10:35Goal by Voracek (Schenn, Giroux)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · COL Beauchemin, Tyutin, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  20. P1 11:59Shot by Giroux, saved by Smith
  21. P1 12:18Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason
  22. P1 12:43Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Mason
  23. P1 12:50Landeskog: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, MacDonald, Weise, Couturier, Provorov · COL Tyutin, Comeau, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  24. P1 12:50Couturier: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, MacDonald, Weise, Couturier, Provorov · COL Tyutin, Comeau, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  25. P1 13:06Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Smith
  26. P1 14:00Shot by Barberio, saved by Mason
  27. P1 17:36Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Mason
  28. P1 17:37Streit: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Voracek, Schenn, Cousins, Gostisbehere · COL Bourque, Wiercioch, Duchene, Barrie, Nieto

  29. P1 17:58Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason4v5
  30. P1 18:16Shot by Duchene, saved by Mason4v5
  31. P1 19:38Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Mason
  32. P1 19:59Shot by Barrie, saved by Mason
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:35Shot by Giroux, saved by Smith
  36. P2 1:31Shot by Landeskog, saved by Mason
  37. P2 1:49Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Mason
  38. P2 3:58Shot by Iginla, saved by Mason
  39. P2 4:08Shot by Simmonds, saved by Smith
  40. P2 5:13Gudas: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: PHI Weise, Gudas, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Raffl · COL Johnson, Wiercioch, Duchene, Nieto, Rantanen

  41. P2 5:12Shot by Rantanen, saved by Mason
  42. P2 5:09Shot by Schenn, saved by Smith
  43. P2 5:46Shot by Barberio, saved by Mason
  44. P2 5:53Shot by Landeskog, saved by Mason
  45. P2 7:16Goal by Weal (Gudas, Streit)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Giroux, Simmonds, Gudas, Weal · COL Iginla, Tyutin, Wiercioch, Grigorenko, Martinsen

  46. P2 8:01Shot by Barberio, saved by Mason
  47. P2 10:21Shot by Iginla, saved by Mason
  48. P2 10:34Shot by Tyutin, saved by Mason
  49. P2 11:33Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Mason
  50. P2 11:48Shot by Simmonds, saved by Smith
  51. P2 12:48Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason
  52. P2 12:52VandeVelde: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, Del Zotto, Gudas, Read, Bellemare · COL Comeau, Johnson, Barberio, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  53. P2 13:32Shot by Barrie, saved by Mason4v5
  54. P2 14:50Iginla: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Weise, Couturier, Provorov · COL Comeau, Bourque, Johnson, Duchene, Grigorenko

  55. P2 19:56Shot by Weal, saved by Smith
  56. P2 19:58Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Smith
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 4:32Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Mason
  60. P3 8:59Shot by Cousins, saved by Smith
  61. P3 11:56Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Mason
  62. P3 11:58Shot by Comeau, saved by Mason
  63. P3 12:23Shot by Mitchell, saved by Mason
  64. P3 12:31Shot by Schenn, saved by Smith
  65. P3 12:45Shot by Iginla, saved by Mason
  66. P3 12:50Shot by Iginla, saved by Mason
  67. P3 13:01Shot by Cousins, saved by Smith
  68. P3 13:32Shot by Streit, saved by Smith
  69. P3 14:01Shot by Duchene, saved by Mason5v6
  70. P3 14:02Weal: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Gudas, Weal · COL Johnson, Barberio, Duchene, Nieto, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  71. P3 14:24Shot by Barrie, saved by Mason4v5
  72. P3 15:26Shot by Iginla, saved by Mason4v5
  73. P3 18:40Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason
  74. P3 18:50Shot by Read, saved by Smith
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final