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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 4, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (SO)

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Final

Shootout

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 58% of the time.

BUF winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:41Shot by McCabe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:50Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 2:16Shot by Moulson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 3:37Shot by Coburn, saved by Lehner
  6. P1 4:50Shot by Palat, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 4:57Shot by Johnson, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 5:14Shot by Palat, saved by Lehner
  9. P1 5:55Shot by Gionta, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 7:32Shot by Garrison, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 7:43Shot by Johnson, saved by Lehner
  12. P1 9:06Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 9:50Shot by Dumont, saved by Lehner
  14. P1 9:55Shot by Dotchin, saved by Lehner
  15. P1 11:46Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 11:58Shot by Gionta, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 12:19Shot by Foligno, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 14:35Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 14:36Shot by Ennis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 14:41Shot by Gorges, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 15:42Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 16:31Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 19:30Shot by McCabe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 19:39Kucherov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Franson, Ennis, McCabe, Rodrigues · TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Dotchin

  25. P1 19:48Goal by O'Reilly (Ristolainen, Eichel)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · TBL Stralman, Garrison, Brown, Paquette

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:32Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 2:37Goal by Johnson (Hedman, Kucherov)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Bogosian, Ennis, Ristolainen, Rodrigues · TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Dotchin

  30. P2 3:32Shot by Palat, saved by Lehner
  31. P2 3:51Shot by Brown, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 3:53Shot by Coburn, saved by Lehner
  33. P2 4:07Shot by Killorn, saved by Lehner
  34. P2 6:11Shot by Sustr, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 6:44Killorn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Moulson, Bogosian, Girgensons, Bailey · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Sustr, Drouin, Point

  36. P2 6:49Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  37. P2 7:12Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  38. P2 8:22Shot by Ennis, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  39. P2 8:52Shot by Ennis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 8:57Shot by Franson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 10:39Shot by Franson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 13:49Shot by Point, saved by Lehner
  43. P2 14:19Shot by Johnson, saved by Lehner
  44. P2 14:30Shot by Palat, saved by Lehner
  45. P2 18:58Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 19:09Shot by Johnson, saved by Lehner
  47. P2 19:20Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:17Shot by Drouin, saved by Lehner
  51. P3 2:53Shot by Moulson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 3:35Shot by Hedman, saved by Lehner
  53. P3 4:52Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 6:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Lehner
  55. P3 6:04Gorges: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane · TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr

  56. P3 8:23Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Lehner
  57. P3 9:02Shot by Garrison, saved by Lehner
  58. P3 11:05Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 11:06Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 13:17Shot by Point, saved by Lehner
  61. P3 13:22Shot by Hedman, saved by Lehner
  62. P3 13:43Shot by Palat, saved by Lehner
  63. P3 15:19Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 16:09Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 17:01Shot by Stralman, saved by Lehner
  66. P3 19:15Stralman: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Foligno, Reinhart, Eichel · TBL Stralman, Garrison, Namestnikov, Paquette, Erne

  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. OT 0:00Period start
  69. OT 0:11Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy4v3
  70. OT 1:47Girgensons: Interference (2 min)3v3

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Kane, Girgensons · TBL Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov

  71. OT 2:40Shot by Johnson, saved by Lehner3v4
  72. OT 3:12Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lehner3v4
  73. OT 3:42Shot by Dotchin, saved by Lehner3v4
  74. OT 4:00Shot by Bogosian, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  75. OT 4:13Shot by Stralman, saved by Lehner4v4
  76. OT 4:29Shot by Point, saved by Lehner3v3
  77. OT 5:00Period end
  78. SO Period start
  79. SO Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiyother
  80. SO Goal by Point, unassistedother
  81. SO Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiyother
  82. SO Goal by Kucherov, unassistedother
  83. SO Period end
  84. SO Final