Sat, Mar 4, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 58% of the time.
31%
11%
9%
48%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:02 | 0.06 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:22 | 0.29 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 23:47 | 0.67 | 43.4% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:36 | 0.05 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:15 | 0.06 | 41.7% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 22:07 | 0.30 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:37 | 0.25 | 44.3% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:53 | 0.17 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:18 | 0.11 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.03 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.12 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.16 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:42 | 0.00 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.03 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:32 | 0.05 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:51 | 0.00 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:12 | 0.03 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:03 | 0.06 | 61.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.00 | +1.0 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 33:13 | 0.05 | 55.1% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:08 | 0.03 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:10 | 0.17 | 46.0% | +20.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23:08 | 0.13 | 50.6% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:36 | 0.04 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:31 | 0.30 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:22 | 0.29 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:32 | 0.01 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:36 | 0.06 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.19 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.01 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.02 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:37 | 0.05 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:32 | 0.35 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:20 | 0.05 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:50 | 0.23 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:11 | 0.00 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:39 | 0.00 | 87.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.44 | +1.4 | 64:59 |