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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 7, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 54% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 1:05Shot by Bozak, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 1:07Goal by Marchenko (Bozak, Marner)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marchenko, Marner · DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, DeKeyser, Larkin

  5. P1 1:17Shot by Komarov, saved by Mrazek
  6. P1 1:22Shot by Kadri, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 1:37Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 5:56Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 5:58Kronwall: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hyman, Rielly, Brown, Matthews, Zaitsev · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Nyquist, Tatar, Jensen

  10. P1 6:38Goal by van Riemsdyk (Bozak, Marner)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev · DET Helm, Jensen, Glendening, DeKeyser

  11. P1 6:48Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 7:19Shot by Gardiner, saved by Mrazek
  13. P1 7:45Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
  14. P1 8:01Green: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hyman, Rielly, Brown, Matthews, Zaitsev · DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, DeKeyser

  15. P1 9:04Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Mrazek5v4
  16. P1 12:13Shot by Kadri, saved by Mrazek
  17. P1 12:32Shot by Green, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 13:47Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 15:26van Riemsdyk: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri, Marchenko, Marner · DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, DeKeyser, Larkin

  20. P1 16:30Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen4v5
  21. P1 16:49Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen4v5
  22. P1 16:52Shot by Tatar, saved by Andersen4v5
  23. P1 17:07Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek4v5
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:24Shot by Brown, saved by Mrazek
  27. P2 2:10van Riemsdyk: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marner · DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, DeKeyser, Larkin

  28. P2 2:56Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Mrazek4v5
  29. P2 4:48Shot by Bozak, saved by Mrazek
  30. P2 5:07Shot by Marner, saved by Mrazek
  31. P2 5:11Shot by Marchenko, saved by Mrazek
  32. P2 5:42Shot by Nylander, saved by Mrazek
  33. P2 5:49Goal by Kadri (Nylander, Hunwick)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Kadri, Nylander, Matthews · DET Abdelkader, Helm, Ouellet, DeKeyser, Larkin

  34. P2 9:55Jensen: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Marchenko, Nylander · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Jensen, Athanasiou, Mantha

  35. P2 12:09Shot by Boyle, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 14:32Shot by Nylander, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 16:12Shot by Tatar, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 16:25Shot by Marner, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 16:39Shot by Jensen, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 18:10Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 18:15Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 19:10Shot by Sheahan, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 19:22Goal by Nyquist (Zetterberg, Tatar)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Bozak, Hyman, Rielly, Matthews, Zaitsev · DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, DeKeyser

  44. P2 0:00Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:36Goal by Nyquist (Green, Zetterberg)+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hyman, Rielly, Brown, Matthews, Zaitsev · DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, Jensen

  48. P3 1:08Shot by Gardiner, saved by Mrazek
  49. P3 2:54Shot by Boyle, saved by Mrazek
  50. P3 2:59Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Mrazek
  51. P3 4:07Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
  52. P3 4:42Shot by Tatar, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 9:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Mrazek
  54. P3 9:15Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 10:38Shot by Glendening, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 11:04Shot by Green, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 11:55Shot by Kronwall, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 14:19Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 14:24Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 15:01Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek
  61. P3 17:41Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 19:55Zetterberg: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Boyle, Polak, Hunwick, Hyman, Matthews · DET Zetterberg, Nielsen, Green, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Mantha

  63. P3 0:00Shot by Polak, saved by Mrazek5v4
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final