Tue, Mar 7, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 54% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:26Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Andersen
- P1 1:05Shot by Bozak, saved by Mrazek
- P1 1:07Goal by Marchenko (Bozak, Marner)+13 pts WP
On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marchenko, Marner · DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, DeKeyser, Larkin
- P1 1:17Shot by Komarov, saved by Mrazek
- P1 1:22Shot by Kadri, saved by Mrazek
- P1 1:37Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
- P1 5:56Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
- P1 5:58Kronwall: Holding (2 min)
On ice: TOR Hyman, Rielly, Brown, Matthews, Zaitsev · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Nyquist, Tatar, Jensen
- P1 6:38Goal by van Riemsdyk (Bozak, Marner)5v4+10 pts WP
On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev · DET Helm, Jensen, Glendening, DeKeyser
- P1 6:48Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
- P1 7:19Shot by Gardiner, saved by Mrazek
- P1 7:45Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
- P1 8:01Green: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Hyman, Rielly, Brown, Matthews, Zaitsev · DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, DeKeyser
- P1 9:04Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Mrazek5v4
- P1 12:13Shot by Kadri, saved by Mrazek
- P1 12:32Shot by Green, saved by Andersen
- P1 13:47Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Andersen
- P1 15:26van Riemsdyk: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri, Marchenko, Marner · DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, DeKeyser, Larkin
- P1 16:30Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen4v5
- P1 16:49Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen4v5
- P1 16:52Shot by Tatar, saved by Andersen4v5
- P1 17:07Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek4v5
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:24Shot by Brown, saved by Mrazek
- P2 2:10van Riemsdyk: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marner · DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, DeKeyser, Larkin
- P2 2:56Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Mrazek4v5
- P2 4:48Shot by Bozak, saved by Mrazek
- P2 5:07Shot by Marner, saved by Mrazek
- P2 5:11Shot by Marchenko, saved by Mrazek
- P2 5:42Shot by Nylander, saved by Mrazek
- P2 5:49Goal by Kadri (Nylander, Hunwick)+6 pts WP
On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Kadri, Nylander, Matthews · DET Abdelkader, Helm, Ouellet, DeKeyser, Larkin
- P2 9:55Jensen: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)
On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Marchenko, Nylander · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Jensen, Athanasiou, Mantha
- P2 12:09Shot by Boyle, saved by Mrazek
- P2 14:32Shot by Nylander, saved by Mrazek
- P2 16:12Shot by Tatar, saved by Andersen
- P2 16:25Shot by Marner, saved by Mrazek
- P2 16:39Shot by Jensen, saved by Andersen
- P2 18:10Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
- P2 18:15Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Andersen
- P2 19:10Shot by Sheahan, saved by Andersen
- P2 19:22Goal by Nyquist (Zetterberg, Tatar)+4 pts WP
On ice: TOR Bozak, Hyman, Rielly, Matthews, Zaitsev · DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, DeKeyser
- P2 0:00Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Andersen
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:36Goal by Nyquist (Green, Zetterberg)+11 pts WP
On ice: TOR Hyman, Rielly, Brown, Matthews, Zaitsev · DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, Jensen
- P3 1:08Shot by Gardiner, saved by Mrazek
- P3 2:54Shot by Boyle, saved by Mrazek
- P3 2:59Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Mrazek
- P3 4:07Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
- P3 4:42Shot by Tatar, saved by Andersen
- P3 9:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Mrazek
- P3 9:15Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen
- P3 10:38Shot by Glendening, saved by Andersen
- P3 11:04Shot by Green, saved by Andersen
- P3 11:55Shot by Kronwall, saved by Andersen
- P3 14:19Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen
- P3 14:24Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Andersen
- P3 15:01Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek
- P3 17:41Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Andersen
- P3 19:55Zetterberg: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)5v6
On ice: TOR Boyle, Polak, Hunwick, Hyman, Matthews · DET Zetterberg, Nielsen, Green, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Mantha
- P3 0:00Shot by Polak, saved by Mrazek5v4
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final