Tue, Mar 7, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 54% of the time.
35%
11%
9%
46%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mike GreenD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:18 | 0.05 | 49.0% | +11.1 |
 Danny DeKeyserD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:34 | 0.02 | 27.9% | 0.0 |
 Henrik ZetterbergC · #40 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:23 | 0.35 | 64.4% | +15.0 |
 Gustav NyquistRW · #14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 20:18 | 0.59 | 65.3% | +15.0 |
 Niklas KronwallD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.01 | 68.0% | 0.0 |
 Tomas TatarLW · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:09 | 0.46 | 56.6% | +3.9 |
 Nick JensenD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.02 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Xavier OuelletD · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:25 | 0.00 | 41.8% | 0.0 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:53 | 0.22 | 42.1% | 0.0 |
 Frans NielsenC · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:49 | 0.36 | 54.7% | 0.0 |
 Robbie RussoD · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:44 | 0.00 | 65.1% | 0.0 |
 Justin AbdelkaderLW · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.03 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
 Anthony ManthaRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.03 | 36.1% | 0.0 |
 Darren HelmC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:33 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 |
 Andreas AthanasiouC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.15 | 58.1% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.17 | 69.6% | 0.0 |
 Riley SheahanC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:43 | 0.11 | 42.3% | 0.0 |
 Drew MillerLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:41 | 0.00 | 15.8% | 0.0 |
 Petr Mrazek#34 | L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.31 | −0.7 | 58:51 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:19 | 0.00 | 36.1% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:17 | 0.05 | 46.4% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:32 | 0.08 | 58.3% | 0.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:47 | 0.28 | 38.7% | 0.0 |
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:38 | 0.00 | 43.3% | +6.2 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:27 | 0.04 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:48 | 0.13 | 49.8% | +6.2 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:07 | 0.13 | 63.8% | +22.8 |
 Roman PolakD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.06 | 64.3% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.21 | 71.0% | +22.8 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:39 | 0.23 | 50.3% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:35 | 0.57 | 73.9% | +9.9 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.04 | 34.8% | 0.0 |
 Alexey MarchenkoD · #3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.24 | 57.1% | +12.9 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:11 | 0.12 | 55.7% | +6.2 |
 Brian BoyleC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:31 | 0.06 | 22.0% | 0.0 |
 Nikita SoshnikovRW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:33 | 0.08 | 36.3% | 0.0 |
 Matt MartinLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:39 | 0.00 | 30.1% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 2.57 | +0.6 | 60:00 |