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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 10, 2017·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Buffalo Sabres 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 73% of the time.

CBJ winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CBJ forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Moulson–Reinhart–EichelO'Reilly–Kane–BaileyGionta–Foligno–GirgensonsEnnis–Deslauriers–RodriguesO'Reilly–Kane–RodriguesMcCabe–RistolainenGorges–FransonFalk–BogosianFalk–Ristolainen
Dubinsky–Atkinson–Jenner3:500.19–0.393:580.19–0.190:380.00–0.001:460.00–0.003:050.13–0.013:570.23–0.524:570.03–0.15
Foligno–Saad–Wennberg2:280.07–0.122:110.12–0.002:340.00–0.001:450.00–0.012:260.19–0.004:030.00–0.103:210.00–0.03
Hartnell–Gagner–Bjorkstrand1:590.15–0.012:040.09–0.004:190.12–0.064:500.33–0.062:160.00–0.011:390.29–0.03
Korpikoski–Tynan–Karlsson1:410.08–0.001:280.08–0.071:320.06–0.031:140.13–0.001:240.00–0.032:270.10–0.07
Foligno–Bjorkstrand–Wennberg2:020.01–0.132:490.04–0.130:410.00–0.00
Hartnell–Gagner–Saad1:170.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Dubinsky–Jenner–Saad0:320.00–0.00
Johnson–Savard3:450.12–0.487:290.37–0.192:400.15–0.000:430.00–0.071:410.00–0.004:100.24–0.006:290.19–0.616:490.28–0.240:440.05–0.00
Jones–Werenski6:400.32–0.042:110.00–0.073:290.06–0.005:510.42–0.015:230.07–0.092:550.02–0.00
Quincey–Nutivaara2:120.10–0.113:430.02–0.132:580.06–0.054:390.24–0.183:200.03–0.113:400.02–0.10
Quincey–Jones0:320.00–0.020:360.12–0.001:350.16–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndWennberg FSaad FFoligno FAtkinson FDubinsky FJenner FHartnell FGagner FBjorkstrand FKorpikoski FKarlsson FTynan FJones DWerenski DJohnson DSavard DQuincey DNutivaara DBobrovsky GGionta FGirgensons FFoligno FKane FBailey FO'Reilly FReinhart FEichel FMoulson FDeslauriers FEnnis FRodrigues FGorges DFranson DFalk DBogosian DRistolainen DMcCabe DLehner G
CBJBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2923:130:482:1945
Jack JohnsonCBJ2922:210:461:3836
David SavardCBJ2822:040:471:3836
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2521:570:532:1955
Seth JonesCBJ3421:480:381:1665
Evander KaneBUF2321:210:562:1354
Nick FolignoCBJ2320:570:552:0231
Alexander WennbergCBJ2320:440:542:0231
Jake McCabeBUF2820:440:441:2115
Josh GorgesBUF2720:240:451:3765
Jack EichelBUF2219:430:541:4934
Zach WerenskiCBJ2819:360:422:0464
Brandon DubinskyCBJ2419:250:491:1667
Cam AtkinsonCBJ2319:140:501:3277
Zach BogosianBUF2619:120:441:2826
Sam ReinhartBUF2218:550:521:3253
Oliver BjorkstrandCBJ2118:440:541:5161
Boone JennerCBJ2318:150:481:1357
Cody FransonBUF2517:390:421:2172
Kyle QuinceyCBJ2617:060:391:2113
Matt MoulsonBUF2217:060:471:3744
Brandon SaadCBJ2016:340:501:3020
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2016:000:481:4422
Justin FalkBUF2415:560:401:2214
Brian GiontaBUF1915:360:491:3402
Marcus FolignoBUF2014:520:451:1616
Sam GagnerCBJ1914:380:461:0631
Scott HartnellCBJ1913:280:431:0531
Markus NutivaaraCBJ1812:270:421:2112
Justin BaileyBUF1711:190:401:0733
Evan RodriguesBUF1610:590:411:0460
William KarlssonCBJ158:020:321:0015
Lauri KorpikoskiCBJ126:560:351:0414
Tyler EnnisBUF96:190:420:5730
T.J. TynanCBJ105:410:340:5913
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF74:510:421:0820