Sat, Mar 11, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 72% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 1:21Dubinsky: Hooking (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Gorges, Moulson, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Reinhart, Eichel · CBJ Johnson, Gagner, Jenner, Murray, Bjorkstrand
- P1 3:07Shot by Gionta, saved by Korpisalo5v4
- P1 4:52Shot by Kane, saved by Korpisalo
- P1 4:56Shot by Kane, saved by Korpisalo
- P1 5:12Shot by Bogosian, saved by Korpisalo
- P1 6:28Shot by Atkinson, saved by Nilsson
- P1 6:33Shot by Jenner, saved by Nilsson
- P1 7:09Goal by Savard (Gagner, Hartnell)+14 pts WP
On ice: BUF Falk, Bogosian, Foligno, Girgensons, Bailey · CBJ Hartnell, Gagner, Savard, Bjorkstrand, Nutivaara
- P1 10:10Shot by Saad, saved by Nilsson
- P1 10:45Shot by Werenski, saved by Nilsson
- P1 11:15Shot by Reinhart, saved by Korpisalo
- P1 13:32Shot by Saad, saved by Nilsson
- P1 13:42Shot by Nutivaara, saved by Nilsson
- P1 14:00Goal by Foligno (Saad, Werenski)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Gionta, Franson, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe · CBJ Foligno, Saad, Wennberg, Werenski, Nutivaara
- P1 15:43Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Nilsson
- P1 16:23Shot by Franson, saved by Korpisalo
- P1 17:56Goal by Bjorkstrand (Gagner)+11 pts WP
On ice: BUF Deslauriers, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · CBJ Hartnell, Gagner, Bjorkstrand, Werenski, Nutivaara
- P1 18:32Shot by Saad, saved by Nilsson
- P1 18:37Shot by Johnson, saved by Nilsson
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:18Goal by McCabe (Deslauriers, Kane)+10 pts WP
On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Kane, Deslauriers, McCabe, Ristolainen · CBJ Johnson, Foligno, Savard, Saad, Wennberg
- P2 1:16Gionta: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Gionta, Falk, Bogosian, Foligno, Rodrigues · CBJ Hartnell, Johnson, Gagner, Bjorkstrand, Jones
- P2 4:10Johnson: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Moulson, Bogosian, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel · CBJ Johnson, Savard, Tynan, Jenner, Karlsson
- P2 4:13Shot by Eichel, saved by Korpisalo5v4
- P2 5:41Shot by Bogosian, saved by Korpisalo5v4
- P2 5:42Shot by Moulson, saved by Korpisalo5v4
- P2 5:43Goal by Moulson (Gionta, Bogosian)5v4+17 pts WP
On ice: BUF Gionta, Moulson, Franson, Bogosian, Ennis · CBJ Jenner, Karlsson, Jones, Nutivaara
- P2 5:58Shot by Saad, saved by Lehner
- P2 6:22Shot by Foligno, saved by Lehner
- P2 6:53Shot by Hartnell, saved by Lehner
- P2 8:09Shot by Tynan, saved by Lehner
- P2 9:05Shot by Gorges, saved by Korpisalo
- P2 9:21Dubinsky: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Gorges, Ennis, Foligno, Ristolainen, Eichel · CBJ Dubinsky, Atkinson, Saad, Jones, Nutivaara
- P2 9:21Foligno: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Gorges, Ennis, Foligno, Ristolainen, Eichel · CBJ Dubinsky, Atkinson, Saad, Jones, Nutivaara
- P2 9:21Foligno: Charging (2 min)
On ice: BUF Gorges, Ennis, Foligno, Ristolainen, Eichel · CBJ Dubinsky, Atkinson, Saad, Jones, Nutivaara
- P2 10:18Shot by Foligno, saved by Lehner4v5
- P2 10:21Foligno: Roughing (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Kane, Ristolainen · CBJ Foligno, Jenner, Bjorkstrand, Wennberg, Werenski
- P2 10:21Gorges: Roughing (2 min)4v4
On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Kane, Ristolainen · CBJ Foligno, Jenner, Bjorkstrand, Wennberg, Werenski
- P2 10:49Shot by Werenski, saved by Lehner4v5
- P2 11:10Shot by Wennberg, saved by Lehner4v5
- P2 11:20Shot by Werenski, saved by Lehner4v5
- P2 11:26Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Lehner
- P2 11:35Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Lehner
- P2 12:55Shot by Gagner, saved by Lehner
- P2 14:59Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Korpisalo
- P2 15:20Shot by Johnson, saved by Lehner
- P2 16:24Shot by Girgensons, saved by Korpisalo
- P2 17:52Shot by Kane, saved by Korpisalo
- P2 18:16Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Korpisalo
- P2 19:02Shot by Werenski, saved by Lehner
- P2 19:57Goal by Reinhart (Ristolainen)+23 pts WP
On ice: BUF Moulson, Bogosian, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · CBJ Hartnell, Foligno, Gagner, Jones, Werenski
- P2 0:00Hartnell: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Rodrigues · CBJ Hartnell, Gagner, Savard, Bjorkstrand, Nutivaara
- P2 0:00Bogosian: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Rodrigues · CBJ Hartnell, Gagner, Savard, Bjorkstrand, Nutivaara
- P2 0:00Bogosian: Misconduct (10 min)4v4
On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Rodrigues · CBJ Hartnell, Gagner, Savard, Bjorkstrand, Nutivaara
- P2 0:00Deslauriers: Misconduct (10 min)4v4
On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Rodrigues · CBJ Hartnell, Gagner, Savard, Bjorkstrand, Nutivaara
- P2 0:00Hartnell: Roughing (2 min)3v4
On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Rodrigues · CBJ Hartnell, Gagner, Savard, Bjorkstrand, Nutivaara
- P2 0:00Hartnell: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)3v4
On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Rodrigues · CBJ Hartnell, Gagner, Savard, Bjorkstrand, Nutivaara
- P2 0:00Hartnell: Misconduct (10 min)3v4
On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Rodrigues · CBJ Hartnell, Gagner, Savard, Bjorkstrand, Nutivaara
- P2 0:00Bogosian: Roughing (2 min)3v4
On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Rodrigues · CBJ Hartnell, Gagner, Savard, Bjorkstrand, Nutivaara
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:34Shot by Ennis, saved by Korpisalo5v4
- P3 3:27Shot by Kane, saved by Korpisalo
- P3 3:32Shot by Franson, saved by Korpisalo
- P3 5:17Shot by Savard, saved by Lehner
- P3 5:55Shot by McCabe, saved by Korpisalo
- P3 6:23Foligno: Holding (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Gionta, Ennis, Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen, Eichel · CBJ Dubinsky, Johnson, Foligno, Saad, Werenski
- P3 7:28Shot by Ennis, saved by Korpisalo5v4
- P3 8:41Shot by Girgensons, saved by Korpisalo
- P3 10:33Shot by Moulson, saved by Korpisalo
- P3 10:49Shot by Falk, saved by Korpisalo
- P3 11:21Gorges: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Gorges, Falk, Ennis, Foligno, Rodrigues · CBJ Dubinsky, Gagner, Atkinson, Jones, Werenski
- P3 11:20Shot by Atkinson, saved by Lehner
- P3 11:46Shot by Foligno, saved by Lehner4v5
- P3 12:45Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Lehner4v5
- P3 12:49Shot by Gagner, saved by Lehner4v5
- P3 13:56Shot by Savard, saved by Lehner
- P3 14:46Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Korpisalo
- P3 15:41Jenner: Hooking (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, Eichel · CBJ Johnson, Foligno, Gagner, Savard, Saad
- P3 16:58Shot by Ennis, saved by Korpisalo5v4
- P3 17:16Shot by Bogosian, saved by Korpisalo5v4
- P3 17:31Goal by Kane (Eichel, Ristolainen)5v4+42 pts WP
On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen, Eichel · CBJ Dubinsky, Johnson, Atkinson, Savard
- P3 17:59Shot by Girgensons, saved by Korpisalo
- P3 18:20Shot by Saad, saved by Lehner
- P3 18:29Shot by Savard, saved by Lehner
- P3 19:25Shot by Atkinson, saved by Lehner5v6
- P3 19:49Shot by Werenski, saved by Lehner5v6
- P3 19:50Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Lehner5v6
- P3 19:56Goal by Eichel (O'Reilly)5v6+1 pts WP
On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Foligno, Ristolainen, Eichel · CBJ Foligno, Gagner, Atkinson, Bjorkstrand, Jones, Werenski
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final