Sat, Mar 11, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 72% of the time.
63%
9%
22%
BUF winsCBJ wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CBJ's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Foligno–Saad–Wennberg | Dubinsky–Atkinson–Jenner | Hartnell–Gagner–Bjorkstrand | Korpikoski–Tynan–Karlsson | Tynan–Jenner–Karlsson | Foligno–Gagner–Saad | Dubinsky–Jenner–Saad | Dubinsky–Foligno–Jenner | Dubinsky–Foligno–Saad | Johnson–Savard | Johnson–Jones | Savard–Werenski | Jones–Nutivaara | Werenski–Nutivaara | Jones–Werenski | Johnson–Nutivaara | Savard–Jones | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moulson–Reinhart–Eichel | 0:520.00–0.04 | 2:040.07–0.00 | 2:080.31–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 2:380.26–0.03 | 3:080.03–0.05 | 1:000.11–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:480.04–0.00 | 0:330.03–0.00 | |||||||
| Gionta–O'Reilly–Kane | 3:060.03–0.21 | 1:060.02–0.02 | 1:160.00–0.02 | 0:320.10–0.00 | 1:250.03–0.02 | 1:180.03–0.01 | 1:020.00–0.02 | 2:070.07–0.00 | 1:060.10–0.18 | 0:420.00–0.01 | |||||||
| Foligno–Girgensons–Bailey | 1:430.05–0.03 | 0:440.03–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:420.01–0.02 | 0:580.01–0.00 | 0:390.08–0.02 | 0:380.03–0.00 | ||||||||||
| O'Reilly–Kane–Rodrigues | 2:050.17–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:340.08–0.00 | 1:340.17–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Ennis–Deslauriers–Rodrigues | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Deslauriers–Reinhart–Eichel | 0:350.00–0.21 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| O'Reilly–Kane–Deslauriers | 1:060.14–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Gionta–Foligno–Girgensons | 1:100.06–0.06 | 0:470.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Ennis–Bailey–Rodrigues | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Ennis–Girgensons–Rodrigues | 0:360.18–0.00 | 0:360.18–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| McCabe–Ristolainen | 3:100.05–0.07 | 1:300.00–0.21 | 1:120.00–0.07 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:420.02–0.00 | 1:420.16–0.06 | 0:480.00–0.02 | 3:580.14–0.06 | 2:070.03–0.03 | 1:320.02–0.25 | 1:030.02–0.00 | 1:170.10–0.10 | 1:220.13–0.00 | 0:590.03–0.00 | |||
| Falk–Bogosian | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:180.05–0.00 | 1:580.18–0.10 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:490.03–0.00 | 1:500.18–0.00 | 1:280.02–0.02 | 1:490.00–0.08 | |||||||||
| Gorges–Franson | 1:120.00–0.00 | 1:270.04–0.00 | 0:440.05–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.01 | 0:540.05–0.01 | 0:510.08–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 0:510.04–0.00 | |||||||||
| Gorges–Ristolainen | 1:200.00–0.37 | 0:580.04–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.37 | 0:480.04–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Bogosian–Ristolainen | 1:110.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:530.03–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Franson–Falk | 0:320.08–0.00 | 0:330.01–0.00 | 0:490.05–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Franson–McCabe | 1:080.00–0.02 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Gorges–Bogosian | 0:380.17–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.02 | 0:590.00–0.02 | 1:020.17–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Gorges–Falk | 0:420.26–0.00 | 1:080.26–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFCBJFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 30 | 32:07 | 1:04 | 2:43 | 8 | 4 |
 Seth JonesCBJ | 34 | 25:20 | 0:45 | 1:53 | 3 | 3 |
 Zach WerenskiCBJ | 29 | 25:08 | 0:52 | 2:07 | 2 | 4 |
 David SavardCBJ | 33 | 23:53 | 0:43 | 2:03 | 2 | 7 |
 Jack JohnsonCBJ | 30 | 23:39 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 1 | 4 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 25 | 22:34 | 0:54 | 2:15 | 7 | 1 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 28 | 22:21 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 7 | 5 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 23 | 22:12 | 0:58 | 2:02 | 4 | 2 |
 Boone JennerCBJ | 22 | 20:36 | 0:56 | 3:26 | 2 | 3 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 25 | 20:29 | 0:49 | 1:48 | 5 | 3 |
 Nick FolignoCBJ | 22 | 19:16 | 0:53 | 2:25 | 4 | 2 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 22 | 19:05 | 0:52 | 1:55 | 2 | 2 |
 Brandon DubinskyCBJ | 26 | 19:01 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 3 | 7 |
 Cam AtkinsonCBJ | 24 | 17:56 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 2 | 6 |
 Brandon SaadCBJ | 22 | 17:40 | 0:48 | 1:41 | 4 | 0 |
 Alexander WennbergCBJ | 20 | 17:31 | 0:53 | 2:07 | 3 | 0 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 24 | 17:17 | 0:43 | 1:55 | 2 | 2 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 17 | 17:01 | 1:00 | 2:02 | 4 | 1 |
 Cody FransonBUF | 20 | 16:19 | 0:49 | 1:42 | 2 | 2 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 19 | 15:32 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 2 | 1 |
 Justin FalkBUF | 21 | 15:13 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 0 | 1 |
 Sam GagnerCBJ | 22 | 14:57 | 0:41 | 2:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Markus NutivaaraCBJ | 22 | 13:55 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 2 | 0 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 17 | 13:41 | 0:48 | 2:13 | 1 | 1 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 20 | 13:01 | 0:39 | 1:18 | 2 | 1 |
 William KarlssonCBJ | 19 | 12:50 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 0 | 2 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandCBJ | 17 | 12:24 | 0:44 | 2:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 14 | 11:29 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 2 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 18 | 11:18 | 0:38 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 16 | 11:09 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 3 | 0 |
 T.J. TynanCBJ | 13 | 9:07 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 0 | 1 |
 Scott HartnellCBJ | 13 | 8:37 | 0:40 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 Lauri KorpikoskiCBJ | 14 | 7:58 | 0:34 | 0:57 | 1 | 0 |
 Justin BaileyBUF | 12 | 7:21 | 0:37 | 1:18 | 1 | 0 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 12 | 6:33 | 0:33 | 1:16 | 2 | 0 |
 Ryan MurrayCBJ | 2 | 1:44 | 0:52 | 1:15 | 0 | 0 |