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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 18, 2017·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Nashville Predators 2, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 73% of the time.

CAR winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Neal–Jarnkrok–ForsbergMcLeod–Watson–SissonsJohansen–Fiala–ArvidssonFisher–Parenteau–WilsonJohansen–Forsberg–ArvidssonNeal–Wilson–JarnkrokFisher–Parenteau–FialaWilson–Johansen–ArvidssonJosi–EllisSubban–EkholmWeber–IrwinJosi–Ekholm
Stempniak–Skinner–Ryan0:570.00–0.002:220.17–0.011:190.04–0.003:250.27–0.480:340.00–0.000:570.00–0.023:130.25–0.016:210.07–0.402:210.42–0.11
Staal–Teravainen–Aho3:350.04–0.071:460.00–0.001:300.11–0.004:030.34–0.105:260.15–0.073:410.21–0.061:480.00–0.240:540.00–0.00
Rask–McGinn–Lindholm1:290.00–0.042:000.15–0.113:310.20–1.080:340.00–0.004:450.32–0.901:550.04–0.031:590.00–0.35
Nordstrom–Di Giuseppe–Brown3:530.35–0.161:440.05–0.012:350.59–0.001:340.00–0.16
Staal–Lindholm–Aho0:330.00–0.170:320.00–0.180:350.00–0.170:320.00–0.18
Rask–Teravainen–Aho0:300.16–0.00
Faulk–Slavin6:190.04–0.281:380.00–0.004:160.37–0.107:230.49–0.124:370.37–0.232:070.00–0.270:580.00–0.00
Pesce–Hanifin2:040.26–0.003:100.24–0.192:540.13–0.372:540.19–1.004:170.47–0.854:220.28–0.474:310.35–0.240:330.00–0.00
Dahlbeck–Murphy4:090.21–0.170:560.00–0.031:240.48–0.110:340.00–0.001:290.00–0.030:370.00–0.003:190.25–0.024:460.53–0.062:050.08–0.27
Dahlbeck–Pesce0:360.00–0.001:140.05–0.00
Faulk–Pesce0:560.00–0.01
Faulk–Murphy0:310.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FAho FTeravainen FLindholm FMcGinn FRask FStempniak FRyan FSkinner FDi Giuseppe FBrown FNordstrom FFaulk DSlavin DHanifin DPesce DDahlbeck DMurphy DLack GForsberg FArvidsson FJohansen FNeal FJarnkrok FWilson FParenteau FFiala FFisher FWatson FMcLeod FSissons FEkholm DSubban DEllis DJosi DWeber DIrwin DSaros G
CARNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH2925:590:541:5975
P.K. SubbanNSH2724:270:541:3014
Justin FaulkCAR2324:251:041:5639
Mattias EkholmNSH2723:430:531:3214
Jaccob SlavinCAR2423:400:592:5929
Ryan EllisNSH2923:350:491:3373
Brett PesceCAR2522:530:552:1135
Jordan StaalCAR2822:110:481:3248
Sebastian AhoCAR2521:080:511:3148
Filip ForsbergNSH2619:590:461:19103
Ryan JohansenNSH2519:310:471:2880
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2418:350:461:3237
Jeff SkinnerCAR2118:030:521:5873
James NealNSH2517:580:431:5472
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2517:400:421:2871
Calle JarnkrokNSH2617:260:401:2464
Lee StempniakCAR2117:240:502:1263
Noah HanifinCAR2116:360:471:5113
Derek RyanCAR2316:330:431:5874
Victor RaskCAR2416:160:411:1614
Elias LindholmCAR2415:330:391:3146
Austin WatsonNSH2014:580:451:4415
Colin WilsonNSH2114:350:421:2741
Mike FisherNSH2014:150:431:4741
Klas DahlbeckCAR1913:500:441:2612
Ryan MurphyCAR1513:020:521:5812
Kevin FialaNSH2112:330:361:0131
Brock McGinnCAR2011:420:350:5214
Matt IrwinNSH1410:350:451:1631
Colton SissonsNSH1610:310:391:2206
Yannick WeberNSH1510:220:411:1631
PA ParenteauNSH169:520:370:5541
Joakim NordstromCAR169:070:341:0021
Phillip Di GiuseppeCAR138:140:380:5820
Cody McLeodNSH138:120:380:5805
Patrick BrownCAR126:590:351:0020