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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 20, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Boston Bruins 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

TOR winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bergeron–Backes–MarchandKrejci–Beleskey–PastrnakMoore–Nash–AcciariStafford–Spooner–VatranoKrejci–Marchand–PastrnakKrejci–Pastrnak–VatranoChara–CarloMcQuaid–KrugMiller–MillerChara–MillerMcQuaid–MillerChara–McQuaidKrug–Carlo
van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Marner2:560.16–0.133:200.04–0.083:580.10–0.081:420.00–0.076:030.08–0.144:390.19–0.232:080.03–0.050:410.05–0.00
Komarov–Kadri–Brown5:380.06–0.201:240.15–0.001:080.00–0.001:370.02–0.041:210.07–0.001:060.00–0.003:170.11–0.164:510.05–0.024:100.17–0.04
Hyman–Nylander–Matthews0:380.00–0.003:590.07–0.081:560.01–0.002:030.07–0.081:090.00–0.002:360.01–0.000:300.00–0.00
Boyle–Martin–Soshnikov3:150.01–0.580:440.00–0.132:060.00–0.110:440.01–0.001:250.00–0.61
van Riemsdyk–Soshnikov–Marner0:400.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Gardiner–Zaitsev5:450.06–0.202:120.15–0.032:130.00–0.481:220.02–0.040:590.07–0.001:060.00–0.003:230.11–0.164:430.05–0.025:160.17–0.51
Rielly–Carrick2:060.16–0.130:430.00–0.054:170.12–0.082:270.01–0.063:450.03–0.114:510.23–0.242:090.01–0.050:300.00–0.00
Polak–Rielly0:430.00–0.003:270.00–0.080:570.03–0.000:440.00–0.002:300.00–0.080:350.00–0.001:420.03–0.00
Polak–Hunwick1:030.00–0.002:380.14–0.031:000.00–0.153:120.14–0.051:160.00–0.000:550.00–0.13
Hunwick–Carrick0:410.00–0.000:550.00–0.000:340.04–0.001:130.00–0.00
Gardiner–Rielly0:400.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Hunwick–Zaitsev0:550.00–0.110:480.00–0.11
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarner Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FBrown FKadri FKomarov FHyman FMartin FBoyle FSoshnikov FNylander FMatthews FRielly DPolak DHunwick DZaitsev DGardiner DCarrick DAndersen GKrejci FMarchand FPastrnak FBergeron FBackes FBeleskey FStafford FVatrano FSpooner FNash FMoore FAcciari FCarlo DChara DKrug DMcQuaid DMiller DMiller DRask G
TORBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jake GardinerTOR1827:491:337:0115
Morgan RiellyTOR1927:321:276:0231
Zdeno CharaBOS2324:411:042:3220
Mitch MarnerTOR1824:241:216:1621
Nikita ZaitsevTOR1924:091:166:5824
Brandon CarloBOS2123:341:072:0121
James van RiemsdykTOR1823:041:176:1621
Brad MarchandBOS2321:340:562:5672
Torey KrugBOS2721:250:483:0640
Adam McQuaidBOS2619:580:461:4730
David PastrnakBOS2118:560:541:2111
David KrejciBOS2218:110:501:3111
Connor BrownTOR1418:041:175:4021
Patrice BergeronBOS2217:430:482:5672
Roman PolakTOR1717:381:024:3501
Tyler BozakTOR1817:150:584:3722
Nazem KadriTOR1516:521:075:4432
Kevan MillerBOS2216:060:441:2810
Leo KomarovTOR1415:141:055:4423
Connor CarrickTOR1115:051:224:3701
Nikita SoshnikovTOR1114:311:195:1600
David BackesBOS1913:570:441:4750
Riley NashBOS1913:530:441:0901
Colin MillerBOS2213:280:371:2110
Dominic MooreBOS1713:030:461:1501
Noel AcciariBOS1511:340:461:1501
Matt BeleskeyBOS1711:170:401:1001
Ryan SpoonerBOS1511:170:451:2400
Matt HunwickTOR1811:120:371:2501
William NylanderTOR1410:590:471:0800
Auston MatthewsTOR1410:400:461:0801
Frank VatranoBOS1310:220:481:2700
Drew StaffordBOS139:410:451:0810
Zach HymanTOR149:330:411:0800
Matt MartinTOR116:080:331:1501
Brian BoyleTOR115:510:320:5802