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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 26, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Philadelphia Flyers 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 69% of the time.

PIT winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:51Shot by Bonino, saved by Mason
  3. P1 1:53Shot by Cullen, saved by Mason
  4. P1 2:47Gudas: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Streit, Gaunce, Kuhnhackl, Wilson, Sundqvist · PHI VandeVelde, Manning, Gudas, Bellemare, Konecny

  5. P1 2:53Shot by Crosby, saved by Mason5v4
  6. P1 3:05Shot by Bonino, saved by Mason5v4
  7. P1 3:15Shot by Crosby, saved by Mason5v4
  8. P1 3:41Shot by Sheary, saved by Mason5v4
  9. P1 4:31Goal by Cullen (Kunitz, Hornqvist)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Streit, Kunitz, Hornqvist, Warsofsky · PHI VandeVelde, MacDonald, Bellemare, Provorov

  10. P1 4:29Shot by Cullen, saved by Mason5v4
  11. P1 5:25Shot by Schenn, saved by Murray
  12. P1 6:31Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Murray
  13. P1 3:39Shot by Crosby, saved by Mason5v4
  14. P1 7:58Gaunce: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Gaunce, Dumoulin, Rust, Sheary · PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Manning, Read

  15. P1 7:58Manning: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Gaunce, Dumoulin, Rust, Sheary · PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Manning, Read

  16. P1 8:31Shot by Weise, saved by Murray
  17. P1 8:48Shot by Weal, saved by Murray
  18. P1 9:56Shot by Streit, saved by Mason
  19. P1 17:24Shot by Rowney, saved by Mason
  20. P1 17:43Shot by Bonino, saved by Mason
  21. P1 18:49Shot by Weal, saved by Murray
  22. P1 19:05Goal by Weal (Del Zotto, Gostisbehere)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Streit, Cole, Sundqvist, Rowney · PHI Filppula, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Weal, Gostisbehere

  23. P1 16:59Shot by Weise, saved by Murray
  24. P1 19:41Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray
  25. P1 19:46Shot by Read, saved by Murray
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:24Shot by Provorov, saved by Murray
  29. P2 1:51Shot by Filppula, saved by Murray
  30. P2 2:22Gostisbehere: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Kessel, Schultz, Dumoulin, Wilson · PHI VandeVelde, Del Zotto, Schenn, Couturier, Gostisbehere

  31. P2 4:03Shot by Manning, saved by Murray5v4
  32. P2 4:16Shot by Warsofsky, saved by Mason5v4
  33. P2 5:55Shot by Warsofsky, saved by Mason
  34. P2 6:15Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Mason
  35. P2 6:30Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Murray
  36. P2 7:21Shot by Sundqvist, saved by Mason
  37. P2 10:54Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Murray
  38. P2 10:58Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Murray
  39. P2 12:38Shot by Simmonds, saved by Murray
  40. P2 12:44Shot by Simmonds, saved by Murray
  41. P2 12:49Goal by Filppula (Weal, Manning)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Hornqvist, Bonino, Cole, Schultz, Kuhnhackl · PHI Filppula, Simmonds, Manning, Gudas, Weal

  42. P2 12:45Shot by Manning, saved by Murray
  43. P2 13:32Shot by Kessel, saved by Mason
  44. P2 15:30Shot by Provorov, saved by Murray
  45. P2 18:30Rowney: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Streit, Crosby, Gaunce, Sundqvist, Rowney · PHI Filppula, Del Zotto, Weise, Schenn, Gostisbehere

  46. P2 19:49Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Mason4v5
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:09Shot by Weise, saved by Murray
  50. P3 1:11Goal by Weise (Konecny, Couturier)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Crosby, Schultz, Warsofsky, Rust · PHI MacDonald, Weise, Couturier, Konecny, Provorov

  51. P3 2:54Shot by Rust, saved by Mason
  52. P3 4:50Shot by Provorov, saved by Murray
  53. P3 5:47Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Murray
  54. P3 6:32Shot by Bellemare, saved by Murray
  55. P3 7:38Shot by Warsofsky, saved by Mason
  56. P3 8:41Goal by Voracek (Read, Giroux)+5 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Hornqvist, Schultz, Dumoulin, Wilson, Sundqvist · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Del Zotto, Read, Gostisbehere

  57. P3 8:36Shot by Read, saved by Murray
  58. P3 8:58Shot by Kessel, saved by Mason
  59. P3 10:01Shot by Gudas, saved by Murray
  60. P3 10:06Shot by Manning, saved by Murray
  61. P3 10:13Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Murray
  62. P3 12:25Shot by Kunitz, saved by Mason
  63. P3 13:03Shot by Crosby, saved by Mason
  64. P3 13:36Goal by Hornqvist (Warsofsky, Cole)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Hornqvist, Cole, Warsofsky, Wilson, Sundqvist · PHI Filppula, MacDonald, Simmonds, Weal, Provorov

  65. P3 13:47Shot by Rust, saved by Mason
  66. P3 17:03Shot by Schultz, saved by Mason6v5
  67. P3 17:31Goal by Gudas (Giroux)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Streit, Crosby, Hornqvist, Kessel, Schultz · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Manning, Gudas, Couturier

  68. P3 17:47Shot by Wilson, saved by Mason
  69. P3 18:45Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Murray
  70. P3 18:58Goal by Gostisbehere (Schenn)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cole, Warsofsky, Kuhnhackl, Wilson, Sundqvist · PHI Del Zotto, Weise, Schenn, Couturier, Gostisbehere

  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final