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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 27, 2017·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Colorado Avalanche 2, Calgary Flames 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 77% of the time.

CGY winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Colborne: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Backlund, Bartkowski, Ferland, Gaudreau, Monahan · COL Bourque, Johnson, Colborne, Barberio, Compher

  3. P1 1:30Goal by Monahan (Brodie)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Versteeg, Brouwer, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan · COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Nieto, Grigorenko

  4. P1 3:19Shot by Johnson, saved by Elliott
  5. P1 4:09Shot by Bouma, saved by Pickard
  6. P1 7:00Shot by Soderberg, saved by Elliott
  7. P1 8:59Shot by Brouwer, saved by Pickard
  8. P1 10:34Shot by Hamilton, saved by Pickard
  9. P1 11:25Shot by Backlund, saved by Pickard
  10. P1 11:50Shot by Landeskog, saved by Elliott
  11. P1 12:58Shot by Engelland, saved by Pickard
  12. P1 13:11Shot by Ferland, saved by Pickard
  13. P1 17:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Elliott
  14. P1 17:40Shot by Rantanen, saved by Elliott
  15. P1 18:08Shot by Frolik, saved by Pickard
  16. P1 19:02Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Elliott
  17. P1 19:45Shot by Hamilton, saved by Pickard
  18. P1 0:00Stajan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Giordano, Versteeg, Brouwer, Hamilton · COL Tyutin, Duchene, Barrie, Nieto, Landeskog

  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:44Shot by Barrie, saved by Elliott4v5
  22. P2 1:30Shot by Backlund, saved by Pickard4v5
  23. P2 1:52Backlund: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Frolik, Backlund, Stone, Brodie · COL Beauchemin, Barberio, Duchene, Landeskog, Grigorenko

  24. P2 2:57Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Elliott4v5
  25. P2 4:09Shot by Duchene, saved by Elliott
  26. P2 4:33Goal by Ferland (Gaudreau, Monahan)+12 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Bartkowski, Ferland, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan · COL Soderberg, Bourque, Johnson, Barberio, Grigorenko

  27. P2 6:38Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Pickard
  28. P2 9:16Shot by Bartkowski, saved by Pickard
  29. P2 9:51Shot by Giordano, saved by Pickard
  30. P2 11:48Shot by Bennett, saved by Pickard
  31. P2 12:44Shot by Bennett, saved by Pickard
  32. P2 13:55Shot by Duchene, saved by Elliott
  33. P2 14:09Shot by Monahan, saved by Pickard
  34. P2 15:25Shot by Comeau, saved by Elliott
  35. P2 16:39Shot by Chiasson, saved by Pickard
  36. P2 17:49Shot by Frolik, saved by Pickard
  37. P2 18:31Shot by Monahan, saved by Pickard
  38. P2 19:41Shot by Compher, saved by Elliott
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:29Shot by Hamilton, saved by Pickard
  42. P3 1:16Stone: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stone, Brodie, Ferland, Gaudreau, Monahan · COL Tyutin, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog, Compher

  43. P3 1:31Shot by Bouma, saved by Pickard4v5
  44. P3 2:01Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Elliott4v5
  45. P3 3:06Goal by Andrighetto (Johnson, MacKinnon)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Brodie, Chiasson, Hamilton, Bennett · COL Johnson, Andrighetto, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  46. P3 3:24Shot by Nieto, saved by Elliott
  47. P3 3:56Pickard: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Versteeg, Brouwer, Stone, Brodie · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Colborne, Lindholm

  48. P3 4:58Goal by Brouwer (Monahan, Versteeg)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Versteeg, Brouwer, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan · COL Tyutin, Comeau, Nieto, Lindholm

  49. P3 5:33Shot by Frolik, saved by Pickard
  50. P3 5:29Shot by Barberio, saved by Elliott
  51. P3 6:19Shot by Compher, saved by Elliott
  52. P3 6:26Shot by Johnson, saved by Elliott
  53. P3 8:12Shot by Lindholm, saved by Elliott
  54. P3 8:48Shot by Versteeg, saved by Pickard
  55. P3 9:53Shot by Landeskog, saved by Elliott
  56. P3 10:14Shot by Landeskog, saved by Elliott
  57. P3 11:00Shot by Stajan, saved by Pickard
  58. P3 13:21Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Elliott
  59. P3 14:26Shot by Tyutin, saved by Elliott
  60. P3 15:45Shot by Barrie, saved by Elliott
  61. P3 17:49Shot by Landeskog, saved by Elliott5v6
  62. P3 18:06Goal by Andrighetto (Rantanen, Johnson)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Giordano, Versteeg, Brouwer, Bartkowski · COL Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog, Andrighetto, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  63. P3 19:23Andrighetto: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Gaudreau, Hamilton · COL Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog, Andrighetto, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  64. P3 19:56Goal by Gaudreau (Ferland, Monahan)0 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Stone, Brodie, Ferland, Gaudreau, Monahan · COL Beauchemin, Duchene, Barrie, Compher, MacKinnon

  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final