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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 1, 2017·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Detroit Red Wings 4

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 71% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:11Shot by Helm, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:19Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 1:34Shot by Nylander, saved by Howard
  5. P1 1:31Shot by Matthews, saved by Howard
  6. P1 1:55Shot by Miller, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 2:22Shot by Kapanen, saved by Howard
  8. P1 2:50Shot by Carrick, saved by Howard
  9. P1 3:00Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 4:40Shot by Hunwick, saved by Howard
  11. P1 5:35Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 6:20Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 6:56Shot by Kadri, saved by Howard
  14. P1 7:45Shot by Hyman, saved by Howard
  15. P1 8:16Shot by Nosek, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 8:16Shot by Nosek, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 8:16Bozak: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: DET Miller, Jensen, Street, DeKeyser, Nosek · TOR Polak, Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marner

  18. P1 8:35Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Andersen5v4
  19. P1 9:15Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Andersen5v4
  20. P1 9:34Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen5v4
  21. P1 9:36Nyquist: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Tatar · TOR Rielly, Brown, Kapanen, Zaitsev

  22. P1 11:04Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Howard4v4
  23. P1 12:42Shot by Nosek, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 13:29Shot by Helm, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 14:50Goal by Nyquist (Nielsen, Jensen)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Nyquist, Tatar, Jensen, DeKeyser · TOR Hyman, Rielly, Carrick, Kapanen, Matthews

  26. P1 16:11Shot by Marner, saved by Howard
  27. P1 18:19Shot by Green, saved by Andersen
  28. P1 19:04Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Andersen
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:04Shot by Tatar, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 1:31Kronwall: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, Tatar · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews

  33. P2 2:56Goal by Matthews (Komarov, Zaitsev)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Miller, Russo, Ouellet, Larkin · TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Brown, Nylander, Matthews

  34. P2 4:04Shot by Boyle, saved by Howard
  35. P2 4:04Shot by Matthews, saved by Howard
  36. P2 4:42Shot by Bozak, saved by Howard
  37. P2 6:06Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 6:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard
  39. P2 7:27Shot by Hunwick, saved by Howard
  40. P2 9:20Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 10:37Shot by Green, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 10:53Shot by Jensen, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 13:53Goal by Marner (Carrick)+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Miller, Green, Abdelkader, Nosek · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Carrick, Marner

  44. P2 14:05Shot by Sheahan, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 14:34Shot by Helm, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 15:08Goal by Nylander (Matthews, Polak)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, Tatar · TOR Polak, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews

  47. P2 15:25Shot by Martin, saved by Howard
  48. P2 16:35Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Andersen
  49. P2 16:42Shot by Jensen, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 16:42Goal by Jensen (Zetterberg)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Nyquist, Tatar, Jensen, DeKeyser · TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev

  51. P2 17:39Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard
  52. P2 18:23Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
  53. P2 19:26Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Andersen
  54. P2 19:35Shot by Kapanen, saved by Howard
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 2:03Shot by Marner, saved by Howard
  58. P3 3:29Shot by Kronwall, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 4:22Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 4:56Shot by Tatar, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 5:24Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Howard
  62. P3 5:44Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 5:55Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 5:45Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 10:33Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 11:16Shot by Brown, saved by Howard
  67. P3 11:19Kadri: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Miller, Jensen, Street, Nosek · TOR Polak, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Brown

  68. P3 12:35Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Andersen5v4
  69. P3 13:20Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 14:34Shot by Green, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 14:41Goal by Kronwall (Zetterberg, Nyquist)+37 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, Tatar · TOR Polak, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews

  72. P3 16:31Shot by Matthews, saved by Howard
  73. P3 17:34Goal by van Riemsdyk (Kadri, Gardiner)+44 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Helm, Jensen, Sheahan, DeKeyser · TOR Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri, Brown

  74. P3 18:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Howard
  75. P3 18:51Goal by Matthews (Boyle)+5 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Nyquist, Tatar, Jensen, DeKeyser · TOR Boyle, Gardiner, Hyman, Matthews, Zaitsev

  76. P3 19:15Goal by Green (Larkin, Helm)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Green, Abdelkader, Helm, Athanasiou, Larkin · TOR Polak, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Brown

  77. P3 19:28Shot by Tatar, saved by Andersen6v5
  78. P3 19:47Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Andersen6v5
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final