Sat, Apr 1, 2017·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Detroit Red Wings 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 71% of the time.
63%
9%
21%
DET winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:53 | 0.05 | 34.0% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:52 | 0.00 | 45.4% | +44.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.04 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:33 | 0.00 | 48.3% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.06 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | −1 | 6 | 16:41 | 0.44 | 34.4% | +45.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.04 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.09 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.09 | 48.6% | +44.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.07 | 39.4% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:27 | 0.00 | 36.7% | +21.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.39 | 46.0% | +20.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.17 | 47.6% | +44.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.07 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.13 | 20.5% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:20 | 0.18 | 89.2% | +5.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:28 | 0.16 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:59 | 0.14 | 76.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 42 | 38 | 4 | .905 | 3.31 | −0.7 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:04 | 0.26 | 58.3% | +3.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22:48 | 0.48 | 61.7% | +36.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22:19 | 0.29 | 61.0% | +55.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:04 | 0.07 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:00 | 0.15 | 53.2% | +37.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:31 | 0.34 | 62.7% | +55.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:03 | 0.43 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:04 | 0.29 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16:48 | 0.24 | 66.1% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:04 | 0.07 | 36.9% | +3.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:24 | 0.23 | 73.6% | +3.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.04 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.00 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.00 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.06 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 8:53 | 0.24 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:49 | 0.12 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:28 | 0.00 | 64.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 2.12 | −2.9 | 59:13 |