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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 1, 2017·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Detroit Red Wings 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 71% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Nikita ZaitsevD · #220110122:530.0534.0%+21.5
Jake GardinerD · #51011+1021:520.0045.4%+44.2
Morgan RiellyD · #440000220:430.0459.9%0.0
Roman PolakD · #46011−1020:330.0048.3%+18.6
Zach HymanLW · #11000−1117:190.0634.9%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34213−1616:410.4434.4%+45.4
Matt HunwickD · #2000+1216:320.0450.1%0.0
Connor BrownRW · #120000116:300.0938.1%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #43011+1116:070.0948.6%+44.2
Connor CarrickD · #8011−1116:020.0739.4%+20.7
Leo KomarovRW · #470110015:270.0036.7%+21.5
Mitch MarnerRW · #16101+1315:150.3946.0%+20.7
James van RiemsdykLW · #25101+1215:010.1747.6%+44.2
Tyler BozakC · #420000114:350.0742.9%0.0
William NylanderRW · #29101−1213:430.1320.5%+18.6
Brian BoyleC · #24011+1112:200.1889.2%+5.3
Kasperi KapanenRW · #28000−1211:280.1673.3%0.0
Matt MartinLW · #150000110:590.1476.7%0.0
Frederik Andersen#31W42384.9053.31−0.760:00

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Mike GreenD · #251010423:040.2658.3%+3.0
Nick JensenD · #31120322:480.4861.7%+36.9
Henrik ZetterbergC · #400220522:190.2961.0%+55.9
Danny DeKeyserD · #650000222:040.0762.3%0.0
Niklas KronwallD · #551010222:000.1553.2%+37.4
Gustav NyquistRW · #14112+1321:310.3462.7%+55.7
Tomas TatarLW · #21000+1321:030.4362.7%0.0
Justin AbdelkaderLW · #80000219:040.2925.2%0.0
Frans NielsenC · #510110716:480.2466.1%+18.4
Dylan LarkinC · #71011+1216:040.0736.9%+3.0
Darren HelmC · #430110315:240.2373.6%+3.0
Riley SheahanC · #15000−1115:080.0469.8%0.0
Xavier OuelletD · #610000013:570.0031.8%0.0
Robbie RussoD · #180000012:080.0035.3%0.0
Andreas AthanasiouC · #72000+1111:500.0637.5%0.0
Tomas NosekLW · #83000−138:530.2448.8%0.0
Drew MillerLW · #20000−117:490.1232.2%0.0
Ben StreetC · #46000005:280.0064.2%0.0
Jimmy Howard#35L27225.8152.12−2.959:13