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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 3, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 70% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:33Shot by Marner, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 3:50Shot by Boyle, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 4:26Goal by Komarov (Kadri)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Ennis, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Brown

  5. P1 5:01Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Gardiner)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Smith · TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev

  6. P1 5:09Goal by van Riemsdyk (Bozak)+10 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Franson, Ennis, O'Reilly, Kane, Kulikov · TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner

  7. P1 5:40Shot by Rielly, saved by Nilsson
  8. P1 7:17Shot by Gardiner, saved by Nilsson
  9. P1 7:58Shot by Bozak, saved by Nilsson
  10. P1 10:41Shot by Franson, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 12:28Shot by Matthews, saved by Nilsson
  12. P1 12:30Shot by Nylander, saved by Nilsson
  13. P1 12:39Shot by Brown, saved by Nilsson
  14. P1 14:28Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 14:55Shot by Nylander, saved by Nilsson
  16. P1 15:16Shot by Nylander, saved by Nilsson
  17. P1 15:24Shot by Matthews, saved by Nilsson
  18. P1 17:16Shot by Martin, saved by Nilsson
  19. P1 17:28Shot by Gardiner, saved by Nilsson
  20. P1 18:13Kane: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Franson, Kane, Kulikov, Reinhart, Eichel · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Kapanen, Zaitsev

  21. P1 18:59Shot by Matthews, saved by Nilsson4v5
  22. P1 19:24Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Nilsson4v5
  23. P1 0:00Foligno: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, McCabe · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev

  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:34Shot by Matthews, saved by Nilsson4v5
  27. P2 1:51Goal by O'Reilly (Gionta)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, O'Reilly, Ristolainen · TOR Boyle, Gardiner, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews

  28. P2 2:19Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 2:35Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 4:27Shot by Marner, saved by Nilsson
  31. P2 5:56Shot by Martin, saved by Nilsson
  32. P2 8:55Shot by Matthews, saved by Nilsson
  33. P2 9:06Shot by Hyman, saved by Nilsson
  34. P2 10:57Shot by Gardiner, saved by Nilsson
  35. P2 11:46Shot by Hunwick, saved by Nilsson
  36. P2 12:11Shot by Boyle, saved by Nilsson
  37. P2 13:35Shot by Kulikov, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 15:39Shot by Polak, saved by Nilsson
  39. P2 16:51Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 17:17Shot by Brown, saved by Nilsson
  41. P2 17:15Shot by Hunwick, saved by Nilsson
  42. P2 19:06Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:33Shot by Kadri, saved by Nilsson
  46. P3 1:10Shot by Polak, saved by Nilsson
  47. P3 1:44Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  48. P3 2:33Shot by Kadri, saved by Nilsson
  49. P3 2:47Shot by Carrier, saved by Andersen
  50. P3 3:14Shot by Nylander, saved by Nilsson
  51. P3 4:21Eichel: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel · TOR Polak, Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marner

  52. P3 5:05Shot by Gardiner, saved by Nilsson4v5
  53. P3 5:36Shot by Bozak, saved by Nilsson4v5
  54. P3 5:50Goal by Kadri (Marner, Zaitsev)4v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev

  55. P3 5:50Ristolainen: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev

  56. P3 5:50Ristolainen: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev

  57. P3 5:50Girgensons: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev

  58. P3 5:50Kadri: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev

  59. P3 5:50Kadri: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev

  60. P3 6:06Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen5v4
  61. P3 5:50Zaitsev: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev

  62. P3 7:25Shot by Ennis, saved by Andersen5v4
  63. P3 7:37Shot by Rielly, saved by Nilsson5v4
  64. P3 8:17Shot by Polak, saved by Nilsson
  65. P3 8:22Shot by Carrick, saved by Nilsson
  66. P3 8:50Shot by Bozak, saved by Nilsson
  67. P3 9:21Shot by Franson, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 9:26Shot by Carrier, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 9:35Shot by Hyman, saved by Nilsson
  70. P3 9:57Shot by Nylander, saved by Nilsson
  71. P3 10:01Shot by Polak, saved by Nilsson
  72. P3 10:48Shot by Gionta, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 11:25Shot by Brown, saved by Nilsson
  74. P3 13:39Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Andersen
  75. P3 13:44Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 14:03Kane: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: BUF Franson, O'Reilly, Kane, Kulikov, Carrier · TOR Polak, Komarov, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly

  77. P3 16:27Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 17:30Shot by Ennis, saved by Andersen
  79. P3 17:52Shot by Kapanen, saved by Nilsson
  80. P3 19:04Goal by Eichel (Reinhart)0 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Bogosian, Foligno, Reinhart, Eichel · TOR Boyle, Hyman, Rielly, Carrick, Brown

  81. P3 19:17Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen6v5
  82. P3 19:54Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen6v5
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final