Wed, Apr 5, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 1, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 64% of the time.
54%
10%
9%
27%
BUF winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:52 | 0.10 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:35 | 0.02 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:08 | 0.09 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:29 | 0.12 | 39.3% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:26 | 0.12 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:59 | 0.20 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.02 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.51 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:04 | 0.04 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:55 | 0.13 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.03 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:01 | 0.22 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:32 | 0.06 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:12 | 0.18 | 75.2% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:11 | 0.00 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:10 | 0.10 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.08 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:40 | 0.00 | 73.1% | +11.0 |
| L | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.30 | +0.3 | 58:48 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:03 | 0.50 | 64.3% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:43 | 0.01 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:10 | 0.02 | 69.3% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:38 | 0.00 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:44 | 0.27 | 67.6% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:55 | 0.30 | 68.6% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.22 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 0.05 | 53.1% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.03 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.01 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:48 | 0.26 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.03 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.10 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.02 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:24 | 0.18 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:06 | 0.49 | 46.4% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:28 | 0.06 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:25 | 0.14 | 70.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.01 | +1.0 | 60:00 |