Thu, Apr 6, 2017·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Vancouver Canucks 3, Arizona Coyotes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 110 | 05 | 214 | 329 |
| ARI | 17 | 310 | 05 | 422 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:00ARILuke SchennAssists: Brendan Perlini, Christian Dvorak · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 7:51VANNikolay GoldobinAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 0:55ARIRadim VrbataAssists: Jakob Chychrun, Tony DeAngelo · Wrist, 0.33 xG1–2
- P2 9:40ARIAlexander BurmistrovPPAssists: Alex Goligoski, Max Domi · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–3
- P2 16:11ARIRadim VrbataPPGWGAssists: Max Domi · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–4
- P3 1:47VANBrock BoeserPPAssists: Henrik Sedin, Brandon Sutter · Wrist, 0.37 xG2–4
- P3 12:40VANDaniel SedinAssists: Henrik Sedin · Slap, 0.04 xG3–4
Penalties (9)
- P2 1:03ARILuke Schenn: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:59ARIKevin Connauton: Interference2 min
- P2 6:34VANBrandon Sutter: Holding2 min
- P2 9:33VANMichael Chaput: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 14:37VANNikita Tryamkin: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 1:02VANSven Baertschi: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:02ARIKevin Connauton: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 1:02ARIJordan Martinook: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:02ARIKevin Connauton: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dvorak won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSutter – Chaput – Boucher7:28
xG 0.18–0.06 (76%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Shore – Megna – Molino5:32
xG 0.15–0.16 (48%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Baertschi – Horvat – Boeser9:00
xG 0.21–0.31 (40%)attempts 10–5goals 0–1
- Sedin – Sedin – Goldobin11:13
xG 0.29–0.40 (42%)attempts 7–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Tanev8:46
xG 0.39–0.27 (60%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Edler – Stecher8:59
xG 0.41–0.36 (53%)attempts 12–4goals 1–1
- Sbisa – Stecher6:38
xG 0.13–0.12 (51%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestDoan – Perlini – Dvorak11:29
xG 0.48–0.12 (80%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Burmistrov – Duclair – Domi10:32
xG 0.24–0.10 (71%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Vrbata – McGinn – Jooris9:24
xG 0.34–0.37 (48%)attempts 4–11goals 1–0
- Rieder – Martinook – Crouse8:58
xG 0.10–0.24 (29%)attempts 4–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – Murphy17:34
xG 0.48–0.41 (54%)attempts 13–8goals 0–1
- Schenn – Connauton11:59
xG 0.45–0.39 (54%)attempts 10–17goals 1–0
- DeAngelo – Chychrun11:39
xG 0.37–0.31 (54%)attempts 4–10goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).