Sat, Apr 8, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 85% of the time.
79%
10%
TOR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:49 | 0.07 | 14.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:27 | 0.14 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:52 | 0.05 | 46.6% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:40 | 0.00 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:29 | 0.00 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.19 | 45.2% | +13.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:45 | 0.35 | 44.1% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:40 | 0.08 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:16 | 0.44 | 35.0% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.00 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.23 | 35.0% | +51.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.41 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.01 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.16 | 57.5% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:17 | 0.01 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.09 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:55 | 0.06 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:31 | 0.00 | 12.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 4.10 | +0.1 | 58:43 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:10 | 0.04 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:55 | 0.05 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:10 | 0.00 | 48.9% | +65.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 19:50 | 0.76 | 58.8% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.08 | 82.5% | +81.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:53 | 0.12 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:04 | 0.09 | 72.8% | +13.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 17:51 | 1.36 | 74.0% | +38.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:45 | 0.17 | 45.3% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.31 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.48 | 73.4% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.02 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:28 | 0.78 | 74.8% | +43.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.11 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.11 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.08 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:08 | 0.10 | 72.0% | +37.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:41 | 0.08 | 60.3% | 0.0 |
| – | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0.33 | −0.7 | 22:01 | |
| W | 14 | 12 | 2 | .857 | 1.97 | 0.0 | 37:27 |