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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 8, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 85% of the time.

TOR winsPIT wins

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Trevor DaleyD · #6000−1123:490.0714.1%0.0
Ron HainseyD · #650000322:270.1440.8%0.0
Justin SchultzD · #40110221:520.0546.6%+23.4
Ian ColeD · #28000−1021:400.0020.2%0.0
Carter RowneyC · #37000−1018:290.0024.0%0.0
Tom KuhnhacklRW · #34011+1317:280.1945.2%+13.5
Phil KesselRW · #81101−1316:450.3544.1%+13.5
Josh ArchibaldRW · #45000−1016:400.0822.4%0.0
Sidney CrosbyC · #871010216:160.4435.0%+23.4
Conor ShearyLW · #430000016:140.0035.0%0.0
Jake GuentzelC · #591120216:140.2335.0%+51.4
Scott WilsonC · #23000−1116:020.4129.4%0.0
Mark StreitD · #32000−1015:420.0136.9%0.0
Matt CullenC · #70110114:340.1657.5%+13.5
Cameron GaunceD · #24000−1012:170.0135.3%0.0
Kevin PorterC · #11000−1010:530.0914.3%0.0
Dominik SimonC · #49000−109:550.0636.6%0.0
Tom SestitoLW · #25000−208:310.0012.8%0.0
Marc-Andre Fleury#29L29254.8624.10+0.158:43

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Nikita ZaitsevD · #220000021:100.0454.6%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #440000220:550.0557.3%0.0
Jake GardinerD · #510220020:100.0048.9%+65.6
James van RiemsdykLW · #25101+1619:500.7658.8%+13.5
Matt HunwickD · #2022+3219:090.0882.5%+81.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16000+1018:530.1249.7%0.0
Roman PolakD · #46011+2318:040.0972.8%+13.5
Auston MatthewsC · #34112+1517:511.3674.0%+38.4
Tyler BozakC · #42112+1217:450.1745.3%+35.6
Zach HymanLW · #110000216:530.3176.0%0.0
William NylanderRW · #29011−1215:440.4873.4%+22.0
Connor CarrickD · #8000−1015:350.0270.0%0.0
Connor BrownRW · #121010215:280.7874.8%+43.6
Leo KomarovRW · #470000114:510.1178.2%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #430000114:420.1171.1%0.0
Brian BoyleC · #24000+1011:290.0865.6%0.0
Kasperi KapanenRW · #28101+1110:080.1072.0%+37.4
Matt MartinLW · #15000+118:410.0860.3%0.0
Frederik Andersen#31–431.7500.33−0.722:01
Curtis McElhinney#35W14122.8571.970.037:27