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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 24, 2017·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 80% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:30Shot by Rask, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 2:19Kunitz: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Kruger, Faulk, Skinner, Teravainen, Hanifin, Ryan · TBL Kunitz, Callahan, Hedman, Brown, Sustr

  4. P1 3:06Shot by Williams, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  5. P1 3:16Shot by Hanifin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  6. P1 4:47Shot by Kucherov, saved by Darling
  7. P1 5:07Shot by Hedman, saved by Darling
  8. P1 5:45Shot by Sergachev, saved by Darling
  9. P1 6:25Shot by Killorn, saved by Darling
  10. P1 6:35Shot by Williams, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 7:16Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 9:30Sustr: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Williams, Skinner, van Riemsdyk, Fleury, Ryan · TBL Kunitz, Stralman, Brown, Gourde, Sustr

  13. P1 11:17Shot by Rask, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  14. P1 12:49Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 15:21Shot by Jooris, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 16:08Shot by Girardi, saved by Darling
  17. P1 17:28Shot by Brown, saved by Darling
  18. P1 17:30Williams: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Williams, Skinner, Slavin, Pesce, Ryan · TBL Kunitz, Callahan, Stralman, Brown, Dotchin

  19. P1 18:18Shot by Stamkos, saved by Darling4v5
  20. P1 18:58Shot by Sergachev, saved by Darling4v5
  21. P1 19:25Goal by Johnson (Palat, Point)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Kruger, Nordstrom, Slavin, Pesce · TBL Johnson, Palat, Gourde, Point, Sergachev

  22. P1 19:24Shot by Palat, saved by Darling4v5
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:20Hedman: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Williams, Faulk, Skinner, Hanifin, Ryan · TBL Kunitz, Callahan, Hedman, Brown, Dotchin

  26. P2 2:28Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 3:26Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Darling
  28. P2 5:15Shot by Killorn, saved by Darling
  29. P2 5:40Shot by Lindholm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 6:32Shot by Stamkos, saved by Darling
  31. P2 9:07Shot by Killorn, saved by Darling
  32. P2 9:13Goal by Sergachev (Stamkos, Johnson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Williams, Skinner, van Riemsdyk, Fleury, Ryan · TBL Girardi, Killorn, Stamkos, Johnson, Sergachev

  33. P2 10:39Shot by Stamkos, saved by Darling
  34. P2 10:57Shot by Lindholm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 11:47Shot by Killorn, saved by Darling
  36. P2 13:01Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 13:20Shot by Point, saved by Darling
  38. P2 14:07Shot by Jooris, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 14:12Shot by Lindholm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 14:15Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 14:55Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 15:39Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 15:41Shot by Williams, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 16:17Williams: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Williams, Skinner, van Riemsdyk, Fleury, Ryan · TBL Johnson, Hedman, Namestnikov, Dotchin, Point

  45. P2 16:17Hedman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Williams, Skinner, van Riemsdyk, Fleury, Ryan · TBL Johnson, Hedman, Namestnikov, Dotchin, Point

  46. P2 16:58Shot by Girardi, saved by Darling4v4
  47. P2 17:41Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  48. P2 18:16Shot by Sergachev, saved by Darling4v4
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:22Shot by Kunitz, saved by Darling
  52. P3 0:33Stamkos: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm, Aho · TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Sergachev

  53. P3 3:20Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 3:28Goal by Slavin (Pesce, Jooris)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Kruger, Nordstrom, Slavin, Pesce, Jooris · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Sustr

  55. P3 3:21Shot by Kruger, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 4:12Shot by Sergachev, saved by Darling
  57. P3 4:35Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 6:01Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 9:33Shot by Ryan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 9:37Shot by Faulk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 11:26Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 12:46Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Darling
  63. P3 13:56Shot by Gourde, saved by Darling
  64. P3 10:44Shot by Johnson, saved by Darling
  65. P3 14:11Shot by Kucherov, saved by Darling
  66. P3 16:20Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 17:06Shot by Rask, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 17:27Goal by Namestnikov (Hedman, Dotchin)6v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Faulk, McGinn, Lindholm, Hanifin, Aho · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Dotchin

  69. P3 18:39Goal by Callahan (Kunitz, Brown)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Faulk, Skinner, Teravainen, Lindholm, Aho · TBL Kunitz, Callahan, Stralman, Hedman, Brown

  70. P3 19:14Shot by Jooris, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 19:20Shot by Hanifin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 19:56Goal by Kucherov (Stamkos, Coburn)0 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Rask, Teravainen, McGinn, Pesce, Hanifin · TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Dotchin

  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 3:22Shot by Jooris, saved by Vasilevskiy
  75. P3 0:00Final