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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 24, 2017·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 80% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Kucherov–NamestnikovKunitz–Callahan–BrownPalat–Gourde–PointKillorn–Johnson–GourdePalat–Kucherov–PointKillorn–Johnson–KucherovKillorn–Stamkos–JohnsonHedman–DotchinStralman–SergachevCoburn–GirardiHedman–SustrGirardi–SergachevCoburn–SustrGirardi–HedmanStralman–DotchinStralman–SustrCoburn–Stralman
Staal–Lindholm–Aho5:080.55–0.081:380.00–0.002:280.02–0.200:500.09–0.130:590.00–0.004:180.17–0.073:020.29–0.150:480.09–0.001:270.00–0.000:410.02–0.000:310.09–0.00
Williams–Skinner–Ryan1:290.00–0.004:220.01–0.061:560.12–0.000:430.04–0.000:400.05–0.244:480.52–0.112:000.05–0.002:170.00–0.00
Rask–Teravainen–McGinn1:080.01–0.172:110.13–0.051:270.09–0.000:330.03–0.090:520.00–0.021:080.02–0.001:280.08–0.051:370.08–0.000:420.01–0.020:440.00–0.000:480.07–0.000:350.05–0.00
Kruger–Nordstrom–Jooris2:190.04–0.342:040.17–0.080:490.03–0.040:460.00–0.000:330.40–0.001:470.00–0.000:350.15–0.001:270.02–0.001:080.40–0.051:250.07–0.33
Slavin–Pesce8:580.47–0.451:050.00–0.020:560.02–0.000:440.03–0.001:320.40–0.003:530.15–0.002:500.18–0.081:300.11–0.002:410.40–0.091:170.04–0.290:370.00–0.000:580.02–0.00
Faulk–Hanifin0:370.00–0.003:260.14–0.043:530.33–0.130:540.04–0.090:550.00–0.051:080.05–0.025:390.20–0.180:460.15–0.002:330.06–0.000:370.00–0.000:400.01–0.000:440.00–0.001:050.07–0.050:330.05–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Fleury3:270.00–0.052:280.01–0.071:260.03–0.070:580.14–0.000:380.03–0.242:210.35–0.033:480.06–0.122:100.00–0.000:300.03–0.221:150.03–0.261:120.14–0.00
Slavin–Hanifin0:320.02–0.000:350.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKruger FJooris FNordstrom FRyan FWilliams FSkinner FLindholm FStaal FAho FMcGinn FRask FTeravainen FHanifin DFaulk DPesce DSlavin DFleury Dvan Riemsdyk DDarling GPalat FPoint FGourde FKucherov FNamestnikov FStamkos FJohnson FKillorn FKunitz FBrown FCallahan FDotchin DHedman DGirardi DCoburn DStralman DSergachev DSustr DVasilevskiy G
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3024:440:492:0956
Justin FaulkCAR2721:210:471:2470
Jaccob SlavinCAR2421:130:532:1004
Noah HanifinCAR2421:120:531:2640
Brett PesceCAR2420:130:511:4824
Sebastian AhoCAR2320:110:531:32104
Nikita KucherovTBL2319:460:522:0054
Elias LindholmCAR2519:430:471:18104
Brayden PointTBL2119:330:561:1835
Jordan StaalCAR2519:280:471:4294
Justin WilliamsCAR2218:300:501:2831
Anton StralmanTBL2417:570:451:3444
Dan GirardiTBL2417:470:441:2706
Yanni GourdeTBL2217:380:481:1133
Jake DotchinTBL2117:360:502:0927
Derek RyanCAR2217:290:481:3321
Ondrej PalatTBL1917:270:551:1835
Jeff SkinnerCAR2217:190:471:1920
Steven StamkosTBL2217:150:471:4444
Braydon CoburnTBL2417:040:431:1506
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL2216:120:442:5146
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2115:380:451:2550
Victor RaskCAR1915:320:491:2840
Tyler JohnsonTBL1914:250:461:0715
Mikhail SergachevTBL2014:230:431:2543
Trevor van RiemsdykCAR1813:520:461:2331
Haydn FleuryCAR1813:440:461:1530
Alex KillornTBL1913:030:411:0724
Ryan CallahanTBL2112:590:371:2703
Chris KunitzTBL2012:140:371:0702
JT BrownTBL1811:010:371:1403
Brock McGinnCAR1410:570:471:0620
Marcus KrugerCAR1910:450:341:0213
Joakim NordstromCAR1710:010:351:0213
Josh JoorisCAR179:560:351:2311
Andrej SustrTBL129:060:461:0510