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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 26, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 51% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Shot by Komarov, saved by Darling
  3. P1 0:59Shot by Nylander, saved by Darling
  4. P1 1:55Shot by Matthews, saved by Darling
  5. P1 2:08Shot by Jooris, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 2:20Goal by Jooris (van Riemsdyk, Nordstrom)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Moore, Polak, Martin, Marner, Borgman · CAR Kruger, Nordstrom, Jooris, van Riemsdyk, Fleury

  7. P1 2:38Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 2:42Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 2:48Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 2:53Goal by Teravainen (Rask)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown, Zaitsev · CAR Rask, Teravainen, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce

  11. P1 3:30Shot by Matthews, saved by Darling
  12. P1 3:40Shot by Williams, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 4:07Shot by Nylander, saved by Darling
  14. P1 4:33Shot by Borgman, saved by Darling
  15. P1 4:52Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 3:33Shot by Nylander, saved by Darling
  17. P1 5:17Shot by Pesce, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 5:47Shot by Slavin, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 7:05Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 9:19Goal by Matthews (Marleau)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Rielly, Matthews · CAR Staal, Skinner, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm

  21. P1 9:46Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 10:26Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 11:08Shot by Brown, saved by Darling
  24. P1 11:11Shot by Gardiner, saved by Darling
  25. P1 12:10Shot by Polak, saved by Darling
  26. P1 12:30Ryan: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Borgman · CAR Williams, Skinner, Slavin, Pesce, Ryan

  27. P1 16:01Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen
  28. P1 16:04Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  29. P1 16:08Goal by Lindholm (Aho, Fleury)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Brown · CAR Staal, Lindholm, van Riemsdyk, Fleury, Aho

  30. P1 16:21Shot by Marleau, saved by Darling
  31. P1 16:46Shot by Matthews, saved by Darling
  32. P1 16:55Shot by Hyman, saved by Darling
  33. P1 17:18Shot by Martin, saved by Darling
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:16Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 2:35Shot by Borgman, saved by Darling
  38. P2 2:52Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 4:06Shot by McGinn, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 4:12Shot by Williams, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 4:15Shot by Pesce, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 4:40Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 5:46Shot by Martin, saved by Darling
  44. P2 5:47Goal by Moore (Martin, Rielly)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Moore, Martin, Rielly, Marner · CAR Kruger, Faulk, Nordstrom, Jooris, Hanifin

  45. P2 7:00Shot by Borgman, saved by Darling
  46. P2 7:11Goal by Hyman (Gardiner, Matthews)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · CAR Williams, Skinner, Slavin, Pesce, Ryan

  47. P2 7:20Shot by Borgman, saved by Darling
  48. P2 7:21Shot by Martin, saved by Darling
  49. P2 7:43Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 8:31Shot by Kadri, saved by Darling
  51. P2 9:10Shot by Williams, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 9:39Shot by Williams, saved by Andersen
  53. P2 10:01Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen
  54. P2 13:23Shot by Nylander, saved by Darling
  55. P2 13:37Goal by Rask (Teravainen)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Borgman · CAR Rask, Teravainen, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce

  56. P2 15:23Shot by Kadri, saved by Darling
  57. P2 18:11Shot by Marner, saved by Darling
  58. P2 18:36Shot by Nylander, saved by Darling
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:31Shot by Komarov, saved by Darling
  62. P3 0:47Shot by McGinn, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 1:30Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 2:07Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 3:39Shot by McGinn, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 3:53Pesce: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · CAR Rask, Teravainen, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce

  67. P3 3:53Kadri: Delaying game bench face off violation (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · CAR Rask, Teravainen, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce

  68. P3 4:46Shot by Rielly, saved by Darling4v4
  69. P3 6:04Shot by Williams, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 9:40Shot by Nylander, saved by Darling
  71. P3 10:04Shot by Moore, saved by Darling
  72. P3 10:15Goal by McGinn (Fleury, Teravainen)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Moore, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly · CAR Rask, McGinn, Lindholm, van Riemsdyk, Fleury

  73. P3 10:26Shot by Gardiner, saved by Darling
  74. P3 12:00Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  75. P3 12:19Goal by Jooris (Skinner)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Bozak, Rielly, Brown, Matthews · CAR Kruger, Skinner, Jooris, van Riemsdyk, Fleury

  76. P3 14:03Shot by McGinn, saved by Andersen
  77. P3 15:58Shot by Jooris, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 16:07Shot by Martin, saved by Darling
  79. P3 16:39Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  80. P3 18:21Hyman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · CAR Williams, Nordstrom, Slavin, Pesce, Ryan

  81. P3 18:37Staal: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Borgman · CAR Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Lindholm, Aho

  82. P3 19:10Shot by Borgman, saved by Darling4v4
  83. P3 0:00Period end4v4
  84. P3 0:00Final4v4