Thu, Oct 26, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 51% of the time.
40%
10%
43%
TOR winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:33 | 0.07 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:24 | 0.09 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:22 | 0.24 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:17 | 0.06 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:21 | 0.34 | 49.9% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.18 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 0 | 16:53 | 0.00 | 59.3% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.12 | 59.5% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.33 | 65.0% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:44 | 0.38 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:32 | 0.36 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.21 | 66.2% | +55.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.11 | 66.6% | +40.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.00 | 53.7% | +32.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 12:36 | 0.38 | 64.3% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:02 | 0.01 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:50 | 0.05 | 13.3% | +14.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 9:51 | 0.15 | 29.2% | +18.2 |
| W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 2.94 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:55 | 0.08 | 46.8% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:08 | 0.02 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:08 | 0.01 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:08 | 0.20 | 55.0% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:01 | 0.16 | 48.6% | +16.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18:11 | 0.31 | 53.4% | +38.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16:48 | 0.26 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 16:38 | 0.23 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.20 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:54 | 0.13 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.12 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:18 | 0.09 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.02 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.09 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:26 | 0.40 | 51.8% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 12:35 | 0.00 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 10:23 | 0.33 | 67.9% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:04 | 0.29 | 74.3% | +16.9 |
| L | 38 | 32 | 6 | .842 | 3.08 | −2.9 | 60:00 |