Thu, Nov 9, 2017·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Arizona Coyotes 2, St. Louis Blues 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 08 | 215 | 02 | 04 | 0 | 229 |
| STL | 07 | 112 | 112 | 07 | 2 | 338 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:14STLJoel EdmundsonAssists: Chris Thorburn, Brayden Schenn · Tip-in, 0.22 xG0–1
- P2 9:38ARIBrendan PerliniAssists: Anthony Duclair, Kevin Connauton · Snap, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 18:41ARIBrendan PerliniPPAssists: Christian Dvorak, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–1
- P3 5:01STLAlex PietrangeloAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko, Dmitrij Jaskin · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. STL Brayden Schenn scored
- 2. ARI Clayton Keller stopped
- 3. STL Vladimir Tarasenko stopped
- 4. ARI Derek Stepan stopped
- 5. STL Alexander Steen scored
Penalties (6)
- P1 8:07ARIMario Kempe: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:20STLRobert Bortuzzo: Cross checking2 min
- P2 13:43STLJoel Edmundson: Cross checking2 min
- P2 16:12ARIZac Rinaldo: Holding2 min
- P2 17:07STLBrayden Schenn: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 7:42ARIZac Rinaldo: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stastny won the faceoff against Stepan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRieder – Dvorak – Fischer11:11
xG 0.32–0.26 (56%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Richardson – Rinaldo – Martinook10:08
xG 0.33–0.47 (41%)attempts 13–9goals 0–1
- Kempe – Duclair – Perlini7:05
xG 0.12–0.27 (31%)attempts 3–9goals 1–0
- Stepan – Domi – Keller12:42
xG 0.21–0.43 (32%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Goligoski – Schenn12:48
xG 0.16–0.18 (47%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Connauton – Mermis8:49
xG 0.36–0.43 (46%)attempts 7–5goals 1–1
- Demers – Ekman-Larsson17:38
xG 0.43–0.58 (42%)attempts 14–19goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSteen – Stastny – Sobotka13:11
xG 0.59–0.35 (62%)attempts 15–11goals 0–1
- Schenn – Tarasenko – Schwartz14:00
xG 0.40–0.18 (68%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Paajarvi – Jaskin – Sundqvist8:07
xG 0.17–0.18 (48%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Thorburn – Upshall – Brodziak6:37
xG 0.10–0.20 (34%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Parayko15:41
xG 0.73–0.27 (73%)attempts 19–11goals 1–0
- Gunnarsson – Bortuzzo3:35
xG 0.20–0.04 (84%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Pietrangelo – Dunn5:22
xG 0.19–0.03 (86%)attempts 5–2goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).