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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 10, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 4, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 92% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Dadonov–Huberdeau–BarkovMcGinn–Sceviour–BjugstadVrbata–Trocheck–HuntMacKenzie–Haley–BrickleyVrbata–Brickley–TrocheckMacKenzie–Haley–HuntMcGinn–Sceviour–TrocheckPysyk–MathesonYandle–EkbladWeegar–McCoshenYandle–Matheson
Pominville–Kane–Eichel4:390.00–0.501:090.02–0.003:340.23–0.021:310.00–0.009:250.25–0.61
Pouliot–Okposo–O'Reilly5:200.03–0.333:090.13–0.005:550.16–0.072:550.06–0.211:090.00–0.000:580.00–0.04
Griffith–Baptiste–Reinhart2:430.06–0.000:560.02–0.002:090.01–0.000:360.00–0.033:190.00–0.084:180.17–0.03
Nolan–Larsson–Girgensons1:170.01–0.060:350.00–0.022:070.00–0.000:400.00–0.002:310.01–0.002:450.00–0.08
Larsson–Girgensons–Reinhart0:370.00–0.001:050.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Pouliot–Okposo–Larsson0:370.00–0.030:440.00–0.03
Okposo–Baptiste–Reinhart0:430.00–0.060:480.00–0.06
Falk–Scandella9:560.00–0.911:490.08–0.060:430.00–0.005:460.05–0.096:400.04–0.762:080.06–0.060:540.00–0.04
Fedun–McCabe1:460.01–0.001:200.02–0.023:560.10–0.031:150.00–0.002:200.13–0.006:140.13–0.084:220.10–0.111:510.02–0.021:000.01–0.02
Beaulieu–Antipin3:430.00–0.172:130.04–0.072:500.01–0.000:360.00–0.030:480.08–0.004:310.00–0.121:500.04–0.146:360.16–0.16
Scandella–Beaulieu0:310.03–0.010:370.00–0.031:460.03–0.04
Scandella–Fedun1:060.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOkposo FPouliot FO'Reilly FKane FEichel FPominville FGriffith FBaptiste FReinhart FNolan FLarsson FGirgensons FScandella DFalk DMcCabe DFedun DBeaulieu DAntipin DLehner GTrocheck FBrickley FVrbata FHuberdeau FBarkov FDadonov FSceviour FBjugstad FMcGinn FMacKenzie FHaley FHunt FPysyk DMatheson DYandle DEkblad DMcCoshen DWeegar DLuongo G
BUFFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Marco ScandellaBUF3024:380:492:0063
Keith YandleFLA2623:530:551:5713
Aaron EkbladFLA2523:420:572:1315
Aleksander BarkovFLA2622:340:521:5145
Mike MathesonFLA2722:050:491:2313
Nathan BeaulieuBUF2921:060:441:1841
Vincent TrocheckFLA2620:430:481:4033
Jake McCabeBUF2920:180:421:3343
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2519:550:481:1243
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2419:220:481:2545
Evander KaneBUF2219:180:531:4561
Evgenii DadonovFLA2219:170:531:5644
Jack EichelBUF2118:540:541:2471
Justin FalkBUF2618:540:442:0034
Mark PysykFLA2718:480:421:4612
Taylor FedunBUF2718:220:411:2153
Kyle OkposoBUF2118:170:521:3821
Benoit PouliotBUF2217:050:471:2514
Radim VrbataFLA2015:330:471:2422
Johan LarssonBUF2315:290:401:0818
Jamie McGinnFLA1915:220:491:0441
Colton SceviourFLA2114:380:421:4802
MacKenzie WeegarFLA1914:360:461:1641
Jason PominvilleBUF2214:250:391:1150
Ian McCoshenFLA1914:250:461:1621
Victor AntipinBUF2014:060:421:1521
Sam ReinhartBUF1813:250:451:4031
Nick BjugstadFLA1913:250:421:0441
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1812:430:421:1223
Nick BaptisteBUF1410:450:461:2010
Derek MacKenzieFLA1610:300:391:1800
Connor BrickleyFLA1310:060:471:5300
Dryden HuntFLA1410:030:430:5711
Seth GriffithBUF129:500:491:1110
Micheal HaleyFLA117:560:431:1300
Jordan NolanBUF117:390:421:0500