Tue, Nov 14, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 65% of the time.
56%
9%
28%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 26:34 | 0.09 | 37.8% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:25 | 0.00 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 22:10 | 0.41 | 28.6% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:41 | 0.12 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:28 | 0.66 | 40.8% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:23 | 0.00 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:16 | 0.00 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 18:36 | 0.37 | 23.9% | +59.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:02 | 0.10 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.41 | 48.8% | +26.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 16:08 | 0.36 | 64.6% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:03 | 0.23 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 12:24 | 0.25 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:24 | 0.03 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:22 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:57 | 0.00 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:26 | 0.00 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:38 | 0.02 | 18.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 45 | 40 | 5 | .889 | 3.98 | −1.0 | 60:16 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 25:35 | 0.09 | 74.4% | +43.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23:34 | 0.56 | 66.7% | +66.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:47 | 0.12 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:34 | 0.25 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18:25 | 0.36 | 40.7% | +62.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:16 | 0.12 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18:11 | 0.36 | 44.3% | +39.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:34 | 0.15 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:45 | 0.04 | 46.6% | +39.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.03 | 57.5% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.05 | 76.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 16:07 | 0.63 | 85.3% | +57.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:38 | 0.36 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.17 | 76.2% | +16.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 14:15 | 0.55 | 76.7% | +60.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:19 | 0.07 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:12 | 0.00 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:12 | 0.06 | 68.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.05 | −1.0 | 59:53 |