Sat, Nov 18, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 67% of the time.
24%
9%
60%
BUF winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 25:30 | 0.35 | 44.5% | +4.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:59 | 0.00 | 41.6% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:28 | 0.02 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.17 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.03 | 46.4% | +42.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:38 | 1.04 | 44.9% | +42.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:12 | 0.22 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.02 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:39 | 0.22 | 31.9% | +42.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.15 | 48.5% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.23 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:52 | 0.05 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:17 | 0.19 | 59.1% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.10 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:10 | 0.10 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:47 | 0.77 | 50.8% | +4.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:50 | 0.00 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:45 | 0.08 | 67.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 2.62 | +1.6 | 59:47 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:34 | 0.10 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 22:55 | 0.48 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:39 | 0.86 | 62.0% | +37.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.01 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:13 | 0.15 | 35.1% | +37.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:36 | 0.06 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:07 | 0.00 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:41 | 0.03 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.11 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.37 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.00 | 7.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:15 | 0.16 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:31 | 0.06 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:15 | 0.00 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:26 | 0.00 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:31 | 0.00 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:56 | 0.00 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:54 | 0.23 | 75.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 2.38 | +0.4 | 58:57 |