Sat, Dec 2, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 74% of the time.
65%
8%
20%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 28:11 | 0.35 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:52 | 0.19 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:35 | 0.13 | 33.7% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:34 | 0.28 | 39.0% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:30 | 0.13 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:37 | 0.07 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:34 | 0.05 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.17 | 39.5% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:16 | 0.05 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.02 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.03 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:49 | 0.35 | 79.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.29 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.00 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:57 | 0.23 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:22 | 0.24 | 81.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 7:51 | 0.00 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:46 | 0.00 | 20.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 3.29 | −0.7 | 59:03 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 26:02 | 0.33 | 55.4% | +4.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 21:00 | 0.82 | 60.5% | +4.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:58 | 0.62 | 69.6% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:13 | 0.00 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:24 | 0.41 | 59.5% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.04 | 61.2% | +21.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 17:14 | 1.05 | 69.6% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.02 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:40 | 0.00 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.11 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:53 | 0.07 | 71.1% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.02 | 48.3% | +12.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.09 | 38.9% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.14 | 45.5% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:01 | 0.25 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:19 | 0.04 | 11.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:28 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:21 | 0.00 | 16.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.57 | +1.6 | 59:49 |