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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 15, 2017·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:30Shot by Nyquist, saved by McElhinney
  3. P1 1:54Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Howard
  4. P1 1:58Goal by Kapanen (Borgman, Martin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Ericsson, Witkowski, Frk, Athanasiou · TOR Moore, Polak, Martin, Kapanen, Borgman

  5. P1 3:04Shot by Green, saved by McElhinney
  6. P1 3:28Shot by Glendening, saved by McElhinney
  7. P1 4:01Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard
  8. P1 6:01Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard
  9. P1 7:01Shot by Kapanen, saved by Howard
  10. P1 7:32Shot by Hyman, saved by Howard
  11. P1 7:55Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Howard
  12. P1 8:03Daley: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, Helm, Glendening · TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Nylander, Zaitsev

  13. P1 9:09Shot by Marleau, saved by Howard4v5
  14. P1 11:28Shot by Bozak, saved by Howard
  15. P1 11:34Shot by Bozak, saved by Howard
  16. P1 11:59Shot by Green, saved by McElhinney
  17. P1 13:08van Riemsdyk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Daley, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Nyquist · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown, Zaitsev

  18. P1 14:19Shot by Tatar, saved by McElhinney5v4
  19. P1 15:28Shot by Marleau, saved by Howard
  20. P1 17:25Shot by Tatar, saved by McElhinney
  21. P1 18:31Shot by Nylander, saved by Howard
  22. P1 19:39Shot by Helm, saved by McElhinney
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:37Shot by Daley, saved by McElhinney
  26. P2 2:27Shot by Bozak, saved by Howard
  27. P2 4:46Shot by Ericsson, saved by McElhinney
  28. P2 5:08Shot by Kadri, saved by Howard
  29. P2 5:22Goal by DeKeyser (Zetterberg, Frk)+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Green, Tatar, Frk, DeKeyser · TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Brown, Borgman

  30. P2 5:58Martin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Witkowski, Mantha, Larkin · TOR Hainsey, Moore, Martin, Rielly, Kapanen

  31. P2 6:56Shot by Larkin, saved by McElhinney5v4
  32. P2 7:44Shot by Athanasiou, saved by McElhinney5v4
  33. P2 8:13Shot by Martin, saved by Howard
  34. P2 8:41Shot by Kapanen, saved by Howard
  35. P2 9:34Shot by Abdelkader, saved by McElhinney
  36. P2 10:25Kronwall: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Daley, Abdelkader, Nyquist · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown, Borgman

  37. P2 11:22Goal by Daley (Ericsson, Glendening)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Helm, DeKeyser, Larkin · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri, Brown, Nylander

  38. P2 12:55Shot by Tatar, saved by McElhinney
  39. P2 13:01Shot by Zetterberg, saved by McElhinney
  40. P2 14:13Shot by Larkin, saved by McElhinney
  41. P2 15:11Shot by Green, saved by McElhinney
  42. P2 15:18Shot by Tatar, saved by McElhinney
  43. P2 18:17Shot by Abdelkader, saved by McElhinney
  44. P2 19:49Shot by Brown, saved by Howard
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:03Shot by Nielsen, saved by McElhinney
  48. P3 1:18Shot by Glendening, saved by McElhinney
  49. P3 3:47Shot by Tatar, saved by McElhinney
  50. P3 5:21Shot by Helm, saved by McElhinney
  51. P3 5:58Shot by Kapanen, saved by Howard
  52. P3 6:01Shot by Moore, saved by Howard
  53. P3 7:12Shot by Kadri, saved by Howard
  54. P3 8:06Bozak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Tatar, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Larkin · TOR Hainsey, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Brown

  55. P3 9:39Goal by Tatar (Zetterberg, Kronwall)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Tatar · TOR Komarov, Hyman, Rielly, Zaitsev

  56. P3 9:55Shot by Glendening, saved by McElhinney
  57. P3 11:00Shot by Bozak, saved by Howard
  58. P3 11:54Shot by Bozak, saved by Howard
  59. P3 12:24Shot by Hyman, saved by Howard
  60. P3 12:36Shot by Helm, saved by McElhinney
  61. P3 13:45Shot by Brown, saved by Howard
  62. P3 13:53Shot by Athanasiou, saved by McElhinney
  63. P3 14:10DeKeyser: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Tatar, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Larkin · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Marner

  64. P3 17:41Shot by Kadri, saved by Howard5v6
  65. P3 18:16Shot by Bozak, saved by Howard5v6
  66. P3 19:23Hainsey: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, Helm, Glendening · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Hyman, Brown, Nylander, Zaitsev

  67. P3 19:55Shot by Larkin, saved by McElhinney5v4
  68. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  69. P3 0:00Final5v4