Fri, Dec 15, 2017·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.
37%
12%
8%
43%
DET winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:25 | 0.03 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:53 | 0.05 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:43 | 0.00 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:25 | 0.02 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:29 | 0.07 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:37 | 0.12 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:49 | 0.27 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.17 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:44 | 0.21 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 15:53 | 0.28 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.13 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.18 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:46 | 0.03 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.14 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.00 | 53.5% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:26 | 0.20 | 48.9% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.25 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:36 | 0.11 | 68.7% | +14.8 |
| L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.08 | −0.9 | 57:53 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:18 | 0.31 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:04 | 0.13 | 61.1% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:46 | 0.13 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:22 | 0.05 | 50.3% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:26 | 0.07 | 70.4% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.13 | 44.3% | +31.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:09 | 0.15 | 60.9% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.09 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.05 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:19 | 0.00 | 24.1% | +10.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.19 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:56 | 0.21 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:55 | 0.02 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:48 | 0.15 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 14:29 | 0.38 | 66.8% | +10.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:34 | 0.00 | 34.2% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:27 | 0.00 | 9.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:59 | 0.02 | 47.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 2.25 | +1.2 | 60:00 |