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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 10, 2018·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 79% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:00Period start
  3. P1 0:13Shot by Komarov, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 2:14Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 2:27Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 3:03Shot by Brassard, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 3:05Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 5:52Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 6:54Shot by Gauthier, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 7:17Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 8:22Shot by Duchene, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 8:40Duchene: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · OTT Phaneuf, Hoffman, Duchene, Ceci, White

  13. P1 8:48Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen5v4
  14. P1 9:00Shot by Bozak, saved by Anderson5v4
  15. P1 9:05Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson5v4
  16. P1 9:17Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson5v4
  17. P1 11:26Goal by Chabot (Dzingel)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Hyman, Gauthier, Borgman · OTT Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Dzingel, Chabot

  18. P1 11:41Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 11:51Shot by Duchene, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 12:48Shot by Polak, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 14:07Shot by Pyatt, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 14:09Shot by Pageau, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 14:29Shot by Brassard, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 14:33Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 14:45Shot by Komarov, saved by Anderson
  26. P1 15:11Shot by Marleau, saved by Anderson
  27. P1 18:07Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
  28. P1 18:14Shot by Hainsey, saved by Anderson
  29. P1 18:27Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen
  30. P1 18:50Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson
  31. P1 18:57Shot by Komarov, saved by Anderson
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 1:52Goal by Hoffman (Duchene)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Carrick, Marner · OTT Phaneuf, Hoffman, Duchene, White, Chabot

  35. P2 2:09Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 2:42Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 2:44Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 3:20Shot by Claesson, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 3:29Shot by Claesson, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 3:34Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 4:16Shot by Chlapik, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 4:27Shot by Brown, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 5:08Shot by Komarov, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 5:45Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 6:10Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 6:14Ceci: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews · OTT Phaneuf, Hoffman, Duchene, Ceci, White

  47. P2 6:55Shot by Pageau, saved by Andersen5v4
  48. P2 8:37Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson
  49. P2 11:04Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson
  50. P2 11:09Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 11:19Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 12:00Pyatt: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Polak, Komarov, Kadri, Matthews, Borgman · OTT Pyatt, Smith, Pageau, Ceci, Harpur

  53. P2 13:21Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson5v4
  54. P2 13:54Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson5v4
  55. P2 13:56Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson5v4
  56. P2 14:36Shot by Chabot, saved by Andersen
  57. P2 15:36Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  58. P2 15:50Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen
  59. P2 15:57Komarov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Polak, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Stone, Dzingel, Claesson

  60. P2 17:26Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Andersen4v5
  61. P2 18:10Goal by Borgman (Bozak, Komarov)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Komarov, Bozak, Brown, Borgman · OTT Phaneuf, Smith, Duchene, Pageau, Chabot

  62. P2 18:24Shot by Bozak, saved by Anderson
  63. P2 19:01Shot by Borgman, saved by Anderson
  64. P2 19:59Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Andersen
  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 0:32Shot by Gardiner, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 0:54Goal by van Riemsdyk (Bozak, Marner)+28 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marner, Borgman · OTT Pyatt, Smith, Karlsson, Pageau, Chabot

  69. P3 2:15Goal by Dumont (Chlapik, Burrows)+29 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Martin, Brown, Gauthier, Borgman · OTT Burrows, Dumont, Claesson, Harpur, Chlapik

  70. P3 3:19Shot by Pyatt, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 3:56Shot by Hyman, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 5:52Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
  73. P3 6:16Shot by Bozak, saved by Anderson
  74. P3 7:32Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Andersen
  75. P3 8:37Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
  76. P3 9:32Shot by Komarov, saved by Anderson
  77. P3 9:44Shot by Chlapik, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 11:42Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen
  79. P3 12:01Shot by Brassard, saved by Andersen
  80. P3 12:28Goal by Rielly (Nylander, Hainsey)+37 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Karlsson, Dumont, Chlapik

  81. P3 13:30Shot by Gardiner, saved by Anderson
  82. P3 13:51Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson
  83. P3 14:48Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen
  84. P3 16:08Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson
  85. P3 16:55Goal by Pyatt (Duchene, Smith)+45 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · OTT Pyatt, Smith, Karlsson, Duchene, Harpur

  86. P3 17:38Shot by Borgman, saved by Anderson
  87. P3 18:01Shot by Bozak, saved by Anderson6v5
  88. P3 18:16Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson6v5
  89. P3 19:47Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson6v5
  90. P3 19:51Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson6v5
  91. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  92. P3 0:00Final6v5