Wed, Jan 10, 2018·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 79% of the time.
73%
17%
TOR winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Brassard–Stone–Dzingel | Hoffman–Duchene–White | Pyatt–Smith–Pageau | Burrows–Dumont–Chlapik | Hoffman–Duchene–Stone | Brassard–Dzingel–White | Phaneuf–Ceci | Karlsson–Chabot | Claesson–Harpur | Ceci–Harpur | Phaneuf–Karlsson | Karlsson–Ceci | Karlsson–Harpur | Phaneuf–Harpur | Karlsson–Claesson | Claesson–Ceci | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyman–Nylander–Matthews | 0:310.05–0.00 | 6:580.58–0.14 | 4:210.27–0.54 | 0:380.20–0.10 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 6:410.29–0.72 | 0:340.02–0.10 | 1:040.22–0.00 | 1:360.12–0.00 | 1:530.18–0.00 | 1:260.07–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.20 | ||||
| van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Marner | 2:290.48–0.00 | 3:410.37–0.46 | 4:500.43–0.15 | 0:440.19–0.05 | 2:370.10–0.08 | 2:350.98–0.14 | 2:520.06–0.12 | 1:340.26–0.02 | 0:320.06–0.00 | 1:220.05–0.03 | 1:110.08–0.00 | |||||
| Marleau–Komarov–Kadri | 9:491.03–1.35 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:340.17–0.00 | 4:560.27–0.52 | 1:030.19–0.00 | 1:390.29–0.09 | 0:530.06–0.15 | 1:200.22–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.02 | |||||||
| Martin–Brown–Gauthier | 2:480.08–0.34 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:580.02–0.00 | 1:400.06–0.34 | ||||||||||||
| Komarov–Hyman–Gauthier | 0:370.00–0.09 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.09 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Hainsey–Rielly | 8:091.36–0.81 | 3:200.34–0.14 | 1:210.16–0.00 | 0:380.18–0.10 | 0:460.19–0.05 | 3:340.22–0.19 | 3:540.71–0.34 | 1:510.41–0.00 | 2:060.40–0.00 | 1:180.16–0.15 | 1:270.22–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.21 | 0:320.08–0.40 | |||
| Gardiner–Carrick | 0:470.00–0.00 | 3:060.10–0.41 | 4:380.29–0.58 | 3:450.16–0.47 | 1:280.02–0.14 | 1:520.00–0.07 | 0:520.02–0.00 | 1:350.21–0.10 | ||||||||
| Polak–Gardiner | 0:480.02–0.19 | 3:160.21–0.05 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 2:240.15–0.03 | 0:430.09–0.03 | 0:320.10–0.02 | 0:370.03–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Polak–Borgman | 0:350.06–0.00 | 0:580.06–0.10 | 2:210.06–0.34 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:020.11–0.12 | 3:060.13–0.44 | ||||||||||
| Gardiner–Borgman | 1:180.05–0.09 | 0:430.04–0.00 | 0:400.02–0.09 | |||||||||||||
| Rielly–Borgman | 0:400.03–0.00 | 1:000.07–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Hainsey–Gardiner | 1:300.00–0.34 | 1:150.00–0.34 | ||||||||||||||
| Hainsey–Polak | 0:300.08–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Rielly–Carrick | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.11 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake GardinerTOR | 33 | 28:07 | 0:51 | 2:57 | 11 | 3 |
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 34 | 27:06 | 0:48 | 2:22 | 4 | 9 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 39 | 26:39 | 0:41 | 1:58 | 5 | 9 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 38 | 26:15 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 14 | 4 |
 Dion PhaneufOTT | 31 | 22:12 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 3 | 8 |
 Ron HainseyTOR | 31 | 21:45 | 0:42 | 1:41 | 9 | 4 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 28 | 21:42 | 0:47 | 1:58 | 4 | 6 |
 Ben HarpurOTT | 32 | 20:08 | 0:38 | 1:10 | 3 | 8 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 28 | 19:39 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 10 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 27 | 19:25 | 0:43 | 1:05 | 11 | 4 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 27 | 19:11 | 0:43 | 1:50 | 11 | 6 |
 Derick BrassardOTT | 26 | 18:59 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 4 | 6 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 28 | 18:40 | 0:40 | 1:25 | 11 | 2 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 27 | 18:40 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 12 | 2 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 28 | 18:35 | 0:40 | 1:19 | 11 | 2 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 24 | 18:14 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 3 | 4 |
 Patrick MarleauTOR | 25 | 17:51 | 0:43 | 1:33 | 6 | 1 |
 Matt DucheneOTT | 25 | 17:34 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 4 | 7 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 26 | 16:48 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 9 | 0 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 26 | 16:43 | 0:39 | 1:17 | 2 | 7 |
 Roman PolakTOR | 29 | 16:37 | 0:34 | 1:49 | 1 | 3 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 25 | 16:21 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 2 | 6 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 22 | 15:59 | 0:44 | 1:30 | 5 | 6 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 25 | 14:54 | 0:36 | 1:01 | 7 | 1 |
 Colin WhiteOTT | 19 | 14:09 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 4 | 4 |
 Tom PyattOTT | 23 | 13:44 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 1 | 4 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 21 | 12:03 | 0:34 | 1:08 | 3 | 1 |
 Connor CarrickTOR | 16 | 11:24 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 7 | 3 |
 Fredrik ClaessonOTT | 21 | 10:48 | 0:31 | 1:06 | 2 | 0 |
 Andreas BorgmanTOR | 20 | 10:05 | 0:30 | 1:09 | 4 | 2 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 14 | 9:44 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Alexandre BurrowsOTT | 17 | 9:11 | 0:32 | 1:08 | 2 | 0 |
 Frederik GauthierTOR | 12 | 7:28 | 0:37 | 1:03 | 1 | 2 |
 Gabriel DumontOTT | 14 | 6:35 | 0:28 | 1:08 | 2 | 0 |
 Filip ChlapikOTT | 11 | 5:53 | 0:32 | 1:02 | 1 | 1 |
 Matt MartinTOR | 9 | 5:12 | 0:35 | 1:03 | 0 | 2 |