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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 4, 2018·Capital One Arena, Washington

Vegas Golden Knights 4, Washington Capitals 3

Away

Vegas Golden Knights

4

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 72% of the time.

WSH winsVGK wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Karlsson, saved by Grubauer
  3. P1 0:31Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  4. P1 2:30Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 2:38Shot by Beagle, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 5:45Shot by Tuch, saved by Grubauer
  7. P1 7:22Goal by Stephenson (Beagle, Niskanen)+20 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Niskanen, Beagle, Orlov, Smith-Pelly, Stephenson · VGK Engelland, Marchessault, Theodore, Carpenter, Bellemare

  8. P1 8:19Shot by Schmidt, saved by Grubauer
  9. P1 9:04Shot by Neal, saved by Grubauer
  10. P1 11:24Shot by Neal, saved by Grubauer
  11. P1 11:37Shot by McNabb, saved by Grubauer
  12. P1 12:14Shot by Carlson, saved by Fleury
  13. P1 12:16Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 12:46Shot by Marchessault, saved by Grubauer
  15. P1 15:22Shot by Karlsson, saved by Grubauer
  16. P1 15:51Shot by Orlov, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 16:06Goal by Carpenter (Bellemare, Schmidt)+21 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Connolly · VGK McNabb, Schmidt, Carpenter, Bellemare, Tuch

  18. P1 16:35Shot by Carpenter, saved by Grubauer
  19. P1 17:25Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Fleury
  20. P1 19:08Shot by Vrana, saved by Fleury
  21. P1 19:33McNabb: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson · VGK McNabb, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Schmidt

  22. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:14Shot by Carlson, saved by Fleury5v4
  25. P2 1:21Shot by Carlson, saved by Fleury5v4
  26. P2 1:26Shot by Oshie, saved by Fleury5v4
  27. P2 3:26Shot by Neal, saved by Grubauer
  28. P2 5:44Shot by Niskanen, saved by Fleury
  29. P2 8:38Goal by Niskanen (Kuznetsov, Orlov)+22 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson · VGK Neal, Perron, McNabb, Haula, Schmidt

  30. P2 8:52Shot by Haula, saved by Grubauer
  31. P2 11:47Tuch: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Eller, Connolly, Bowey, Vrana · VGK Miller, Hunt, Carpenter, Bellemare, Tuch

  32. P2 13:13Shot by Connolly, saved by Fleury5v4
  33. P2 13:27Shot by Connolly, saved by Fleury5v4
  34. P2 13:28Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Fleury5v4
  35. P2 13:40Shot by Engelland, saved by Grubauer5v4
  36. P2 16:04Shot by Theodore, saved by Grubauer
  37. P2 18:14Shot by Hunt, saved by Grubauer
  38. P2 18:16Orpik: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Beagle, Smith-Pelly, Bowey, Vrana · VGK Miller, Hunt, Carpenter, Bellemare, Tuch

  39. P2 18:22Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer4v5
  40. P2 18:51Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer4v5
  41. P2 18:52Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer4v5
  42. P2 18:53Goal by Smith (Tuch, Marchessault)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Niskanen, Beagle, Carlson, Stephenson · VGK Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore, Tuch

  43. P2 19:09Shot by Wilson, saved by Fleury
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:52Goal by Backstrom (Djoos, Burakovsky)+25 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Djoos, Burakovsky · VGK Engelland, Neal, Perron, Haula, Schmidt

  47. P3 1:10Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Fleury
  48. P3 3:39Shot by Neal, saved by Grubauer
  49. P3 7:23Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  50. P3 8:53Shot by Bellemare, saved by Grubauer
  51. P3 9:21Goal by Smith (Marchessault, Karlsson)+29 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Eller, Connolly, Bowey, Vrana · VGK Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Schmidt, Theodore

  52. P3 9:41Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  53. P3 10:02Shot by Perron, saved by Grubauer
  54. P3 10:45Shot by Karlsson, saved by Grubauer
  55. P3 12:05Shot by Bowey, saved by Fleury
  56. P3 13:07Shot by Carlson, saved by Fleury
  57. P3 14:36Shot by Theodore, saved by Grubauer
  58. P3 14:48Goal by Tuch (Carpenter, Bellemare)+41 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Orlov, Burakovsky · VGK Engelland, Theodore, Carpenter, Bellemare, Tuch

  59. P3 14:58Shot by Perron, saved by Grubauer
  60. P3 16:36Shot by Bellemare, saved by Grubauer
  61. P3 17:25Shot by Carlson, saved by Fleury
  62. P3 19:34Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Fleury6v5
  63. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  64. P3 0:00Final6v5