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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 4, 2018·Capital One Arena, Washington

Vegas Golden Knights 4, Washington Capitals 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 72% of the time.

WSH winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Neal–Perron–HaulaSmith–Karlsson–MarchessaultEakin–Lindberg–TuchCarpenter–Bellemare–TuchEakin–Lindberg–CarpenterMarchessault–Carpenter–BellemareMcNabb–SchmidtMiller–HuntEngelland–TheodoreEngelland–Miller
Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Wilson5:440.48–0.145:080.03–0.241:290.00–0.011:250.00–0.2812:070.53–0.631:370.00–0.04
Oshie–Backstrom–Burakovsky3:510.29–0.113:220.00–0.051:190.00–0.021:320.00–0.143:020.00–0.073:020.02–0.085:040.11–0.21
Eller–Connolly–Vrana1:300.00–0.001:320.00–0.223:010.05–0.080:390.00–0.000:330.00–0.094:590.00–0.152:580.08–0.01
Beagle–Smith-Pelly–Stephenson2:130.05–0.051:230.00–0.031:130.00–0.001:130.00–0.000:430.00–0.003:490.00–0.013:260.10–0.090:410.05–0.03
Beagle–Kuznetsov–Wilson0:480.00–0.010:480.00–0.01
Niskanen–Orlov6:450.25–0.276:330.03–0.262:360.00–0.020:530.00–0.197:170.23–0.345:150.02–0.065:410.09–0.23
Carlson–Djoos3:450.49–0.144:220.07–0.112:500.00–0.121:150.00–0.291:130.00–0.007:540.24–0.544:230.07–0.112:370.08–0.11
Orpik–Bowey3:590.07–0.002:020.00–0.122:290.05–0.001:420.00–0.010:440.00–0.002:480.06–0.105:070.00–0.085:540.12–0.01
Carlson–Orlov0:330.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOvechkin FWilson FKuznetsov FBackstrom FBurakovsky FOshie FConnolly FVrana FEller FStephenson FSmith-Pelly FBeagle FNiskanen DOrlov DCarlson DDjoos DBowey DOrpik DGrubauer GSmith FKarlsson FMarchessault FNeal FHaula FPerron FEakin FLindberg FTuch FCarrier FBellemare FCarpenter FEngelland DTheodore DMcNabb DSchmidt DMiller DHunt DFleury G
WSHVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Nate SchmidtVGK2224:541:082:4252
Brayden McNabbVGK2223:231:042:4234
John CarlsonWSH2722:590:511:4726
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2122:191:041:4735
Matt NiskanenWSH2522:010:531:4625
Dmitry OrlovWSH2421:570:551:4614
Alex OvechkinWSH2321:140:551:4235
Deryk EngellandVGK2419:540:501:4223
William KarlssonVGK2219:520:541:1331
David PerronVGK2119:270:561:2951
James NealVGK2118:310:531:1351
T.J. OshieWSH1818:141:011:4122
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2218:140:501:1641
Reilly SmithVGK2218:080:491:0831
Colin MillerVGK2117:250:501:1531
Nicklas BackstromWSH1817:220:581:4722
Brad HuntVGK1917:060:541:1630
Erik HaulaVGK1916:580:541:2751
Tom WilsonWSH1816:540:561:5224
Shea TheodoreVGK2116:500:481:3020
Alex TuchVGK2116:240:471:2220
Brooks OrpikWSH1616:051:001:5301
Madison BoweyWSH1615:490:591:2901
Christian DjoosWSH2115:460:451:0604
Andre BurakovskyWSH1715:260:541:2602
Brett ConnollyWSH1514:040:561:2701
Jay BeagleWSH1613:400:511:2703
Lars EllerWSH1612:400:481:3702
Ryan CarpenterVGK1512:270:501:2910
Oscar LindbergVGK1512:220:491:1830
Cody EakinVGK1511:350:461:2421
Devante Smith-PellyWSH1411:290:491:0301
Pierre-Edouard BellemareVGK1611:270:431:0911
Chandler StephensonWSH1411:260:491:2702
Jakub VranaWSH1411:250:491:2500
William CarrierVGK21:030:320:4900