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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 10, 2018·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Colorado Avalanche 1, Carolina Hurricanes 3

Away

Colorado Avalanche

1

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 78% of the time.

CAR winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:10Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Ward
  3. P1 1:04Shot by Barrie, saved by Ward
  4. P1 2:02Shot by Lindholm, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 2:24Shot by Skinner, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 2:29Shot by Fleury, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 3:06Shot by Yakupov, saved by Ward
  8. P1 3:33Shot by Wilson, saved by Ward
  9. P1 4:39Shot by Hanifin, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 4:45Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 7:28Shot by Williams, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 7:43Shot by McGinn, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 9:39Shot by Yakupov, saved by Ward
  14. P1 10:55Shot by Nemeth, saved by Ward
  15. P1 12:04Shot by Bourque, saved by Ward
  16. P1 12:06Shot by Nieto, saved by Ward
  17. P1 14:39Shot by Fleury, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 15:01Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 15:11Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 15:14Zadorov: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skinner, Di Giuseppe, Lindholm, van Riemsdyk, Hanifin · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Bourque, Nieto, Zadorov

  21. P1 15:27Shot by Rask, saved by Varlamov5v4
  22. P1 15:58Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward5v4
  23. P1 15:59Ryan: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Williams, Skinner, Rask, Hanifin, Ryan · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Bourque, Nemeth

  24. P1 16:51Goal by Barrie (Rantanen, Compher)4v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Fleury · COL Barrie, Nemeth, Compher, Rantanen

  25. P1 17:09Goal by McGinn (Lindholm)4v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR McGinn, Lindholm, van Riemsdyk, Hanifin · COL Barrie, Nemeth, Landeskog, Jost

  26. P1 19:06Shot by Faulk, saved by Varlamov
  27. P1 19:08Shot by McGinn, saved by Varlamov
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:27Teravainen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce, Aho · COL Johnson, Wilson, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Zadorov

  31. P2 1:23Shot by Jost, saved by Ward4v5
  32. P2 2:08Shot by Yakupov, saved by Ward4v5
  33. P2 3:06Shot by Faulk, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 3:08Shot by Skinner, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 3:33Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  36. P2 4:26Teravainen: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho · COL Barrie, Compher, Lindholm, Rantanen, Jost

  37. P2 5:53Shot by Lindholm, saved by Varlamov4v5
  38. P2 6:16Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward4v5
  39. P2 6:30Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward4v5
  40. P2 6:49Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward4v5
  41. P2 8:05Shot by McGinn, saved by Varlamov4v5
  42. P2 8:18Shot by Compher, saved by Ward4v5
  43. P2 8:58Shot by Compher, saved by Ward
  44. P2 1:54Shot by Girard, saved by Ward4v5
  45. P2 11:01Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Ward
  46. P2 12:08Shot by Rantanen, saved by Ward
  47. P2 14:11Lindholm: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Stempniak, Staal, Faulk, Nordstrom, Rask, Fleury · COL Soderberg, Barrie, Bourque, Nieto, Lindholm

  48. P2 15:36Shot by Aho, saved by Varlamov5v4
  49. P2 16:11Shot by Williams, saved by Varlamov5v4
  50. P2 16:12Shot by Ryan, saved by Varlamov
  51. P2 16:51Shot by Slavin, saved by Varlamov
  52. P2 17:10Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  53. P2 18:09Shot by Landeskog, saved by Ward
  54. P2 19:27Shot by Compher, saved by Ward
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:35Goal by McGinn (Lindholm, Slavin)+25 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm · COL Johnson, Wilson, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Zadorov

  58. P3 1:52Shot by Aho, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 2:46Shot by Faulk, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 3:14Shot by Slavin, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 4:03Shot by Williams, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 5:49Shot by Nieto, saved by Ward
  63. P3 2:22Shot by Toninato, saved by Ward
  64. P3 7:56Compher: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Stempniak, Skinner, van Riemsdyk, Hanifin, Aho · COL Johnson, Barrie, Compher, Rantanen, Jost

  65. P3 11:06Shot by Williams, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 11:53Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  67. P3 12:16Shot by Lindholm, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 12:17Shot by Lindholm, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 13:16Shot by Stempniak, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 13:17Goal by Skinner (Stempniak, Aho)+10 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Stempniak, Faulk, Skinner, Fleury, Aho · COL Soderberg, Barrie, Bourque, Nieto, Lindholm

  71. P3 13:24Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 14:15Shot by Yakupov, saved by Ward
  73. P3 15:24Shot by Barrie, saved by Ward
  74. P3 15:58Shot by Compher, saved by Ward
  75. P3 17:24Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  76. P3 17:56Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward5v6
  77. P3 19:58Williams: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Williams, Skinner, Rask, McGinn, Pesce, Fleury · COL Soderberg, Barrie, Nieto, Rantanen, Jost, Girard

  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final4v6