Sat, Feb 10, 2018·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Arizona Coyotes 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 216 | 18 | 018 | 01 | 2 | 443 |
| ARI | 110 | 112 | 14 | 01 | 1 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:53ARIJason DemersAssists: Derek Stepan, Clayton Keller · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 10:19PHIClaude GirouxPPAssists: Jakub Voracek, Shayne Gostisbehere · Snap, 0.07 xG1–1
- P1 11:41PHIMichael RafflAssists: Scott Laughton, Jordan Weal · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–1
- P2 0:24ARIAlex GoligoskiAssists: Niklas Hjalmarsson, Christian Fischer · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–2
- P2 2:12PHIWayne SimmondsPPAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere, Sean Couturier · Tip-in, 0.15 xG3–2
- P3 1:59ARIZac RinaldoAssists: Max Domi · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. ARI Nick Cousins scored
- 2. PHI Jordan Weal stopped
- 3. ARI Clayton Keller stopped
- 4. PHI Travis Konecny stopped
- 5. ARI Brendan Perlini stopped
- 6. PHI Jakub Voracek scored
- 7. ARI Derek Stepan stopped
- 8. PHI Claude Giroux stopped
- 9. ARI Tobias Rieder stopped
- 10. PHI Sean Couturier stopped
- 11. ARI Niklas Hjalmarsson stopped
- 12. PHI Michael Raffl stopped
- 13. ARI Max Domi stopped
- 14. PHI Nolan Patrick scored
Penalties (8)
- P1 7:05PHIJordan Weal: Slashing2 min
- P1 7:21ARIRichard Panik: Holding2 min
- P1 10:04ARIChristian Fischer: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P1 15:00ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:18ARIDerek Stepan: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 11:36PHIDale Weise: Interference2 min
- P3 9:38PHIJakub Voracek: Cross checking2 min
- P3 9:38ARIJordan Martinook: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dvorak won the faceoff against Patrick
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestVoracek – Simmonds – Patrick13:28
xG 1.17–0.41 (74%)attempts 23–13goals 0–1
- Weal – Laughton – Raffl9:05
xG 0.48–0.13 (78%)attempts 10–5goals 1–1
- Giroux – Couturier – Konecny12:13
xG 0.32–0.31 (50%)attempts 11–13goals 0–1
- Filppula – Lehtera – Weise7:59
xG 0.16–0.22 (42%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMacDonald – Hagg15:46
xG 1.03–0.36 (74%)attempts 21–13goals 1–1
- Manning – Gudas9:00
xG 0.66–0.12 (85%)attempts 11–5goals 0–1
- Gostisbehere – Provorov15:57
xG 0.31–0.26 (55%)attempts 15–18goals 0–1
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Cousins – Martinook10:26
xG 0.32–0.14 (70%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Stepan – Perlini – Keller12:11
xG 0.22–0.50 (30%)attempts 14–12goals 1–0
- Rinaldo – Rieder – Domi7:36
xG 0.15–0.52 (23%)attempts 2–12goals 1–1
- Panik – Dvorak – Fischer9:41
xG 0.32–0.86 (27%)attempts 11–17goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Hjalmarsson – Chychrun14:20
xG 0.50–0.53 (48%)attempts 17–13goals 0–1
- Goligoski – Connauton13:21
xG 0.32–0.66 (32%)attempts 9–17goals 1–0
- Demers – Ekman-Larsson16:23
xG 0.21–0.91 (19%)attempts 12–19goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).